{"id":241781,"date":"2026-05-27T17:30:56","date_gmt":"2026-05-27T17:30:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/diariodigitalrd.com\/?p=705021"},"modified":"2026-05-27T17:30:56","modified_gmt":"2026-05-27T17:30:56","slug":"luis-reyes-alerta-sobre-inflacion-por-crisis-en-medio-oriente","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/sarmiento24h.com\/?p=241781","title":{"rendered":"Luis Reyes alerta sobre inflaci\u00f3n por crisis en Medio Oriente"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

Economista advierte alza en alimentos y presi\u00f3n sobre el costo de vida<\/h2>\n

SANTO DOMINGO.\u2013 El economista Luis Reyes<\/strong> advirti\u00f3 que el mayor peligro para la econom\u00eda dominicana ante la crisis en Medio Oriente no ser\u00e1 \u00fanicamente el aumento del petr\u00f3leo, sino el impacto que ese conflicto podr\u00eda provocar sobre la inflaci\u00f3n, los alimentos y el costo de vida de la poblaci\u00f3n en los pr\u00f3ximos meses.<\/p>\n

Durante una entrevista en el programa Propuesta de la Noche<\/em>,<\/strong> transmitido por Teleimpacto y conducido por el periodista Manuel Jim\u00e9nez<\/strong>, el exdirector general de Presupuesto sostuvo que el incremento estimado de 900 millones de d\u00f3lares en la factura petrolera es manejable para el pa\u00eds y no representa, por s\u00ed solo, un riesgo para la estabilidad macroecon\u00f3mica.<\/p>\n

Seg\u00fan explic\u00f3, el Banco Central <\/strong>dispone actualmente de reservas internacionales superiores a los 15 mil millones de d\u00f3lares, lo que permitir\u00eda enfrentar el impacto externo sin generar desequilibrios severos en la balanza de pagos.<\/p>\n

\n

\u201cEl impacto menos trascendente del actual choque petrolero es precisamente el que se refiere a la balanza de pagos\u201d, afirm\u00f3 Reyes, al considerar que la econom\u00eda dominicana tiene capacidad financiera suficiente para absorber ese aumento temporal en los costos energ\u00e9ticos.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n

Sin embargo, insisti\u00f3 en que las mayores consecuencias comenzar\u00e1n a sentirse en los precios internos. A su juicio, el alza del petr\u00f3leo ya est\u00e1 presionando la inflaci\u00f3n y podr\u00eda agravarse con el incremento internacional de fertilizantes y alimentos.<\/p>\n

En ese sentido, alert\u00f3 que hacia finales del tercer trimestre podr\u00edan registrarse aumentos importantes en productos de alta incidencia dentro de la canasta familiar dominicana.<\/p>\n

\n

\u201cSe teme que comiencen a sentirse incrementos en algunos alimentos que tienen muy alta ponderaci\u00f3n en la canasta familiar\u201d, se\u00f1al\u00f3 el economista, tras recordar que la Organizaci\u00f3n de las Naciones Unidas para la Alimentaci\u00f3n y la Agricultura ya reporta aumentos sostenidos en el \u00edndice global de alimentos.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n

Reyes tambi\u00e9n analiz\u00f3 la pol\u00edtica monetaria aplicada por el Banco Central dominicano. Consider\u00f3 que las autoridades han decidido mantener una postura \u201cneutra\u201d, priorizando el crecimiento econ\u00f3mico y evitando medidas m\u00e1s agresivas para contener la inflaci\u00f3n.<\/p>\n

A su entender, el organismo opt\u00f3 por retrasar el retiro de facilidades financieras al sistema bancario para impedir un mayor aumento de las tasas de inter\u00e9s y una desaceleraci\u00f3n econ\u00f3mica m\u00e1s fuerte.<\/p>\n

No obstante, sostuvo que esa decisi\u00f3n tendr\u00e1 efectos directos sobre la poblaci\u00f3n. \u201cNo cabe la menor duda\u201d de que aumentar\u00e1n los precios de bienes y servicios, especialmente en el transporte, afirm\u00f3.<\/p>\n

El tambi\u00e9n miembro del Comit\u00e9 Central del Partido de la Liberaci\u00f3n Dominicana indic\u00f3 que las autoridades monetarias parecen dispuestas a tolerar una inflaci\u00f3n por encima de la meta oficial con el objetivo de proteger el dinamismo econ\u00f3mico.<\/p>\n

En cuanto al panorama internacional, Reyes consider\u00f3 prematuro asumir que los precios del petr\u00f3leo caer\u00e1n r\u00e1pidamente, pese a las recientes conversaciones diplom\u00e1ticas entre Estados Unidos e Ir\u00e1n.<\/p>\n

\n

\u201cHay demasiadas preguntas sin responder todav\u00eda\u201d, expres\u00f3 al referirse a las tensiones en el estrecho de Ormuz y a las disputas vinculadas al programa nuclear iran\u00ed.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n

Asimismo, advirti\u00f3 que incluso si el conflicto disminuyera en el corto plazo, los da\u00f1os causados a infraestructuras petroleras y gas\u00edferas mantendr\u00edan elevados los precios energ\u00e9ticos durante buena parte del a\u00f1o.<\/p>\n

\n

\u201cYa hay un da\u00f1o hecho\u201d, subray\u00f3 Reyes, tras se\u00f1alar que algunas instalaciones podr\u00edan tardar entre dos y cinco a\u00f1os en ser reconstruidas completamente.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n

El economista concluy\u00f3 afirmando que la econom\u00eda dominicana enfrentar\u00e1 meses complejos debido a la combinaci\u00f3n de inflaci\u00f3n importada, subsidios crecientes y limitaciones fiscales, un escenario que podr\u00eda complicar a\u00fan m\u00e1s la gesti\u00f3n econ\u00f3mica de cara al pr\u00f3ximo a\u00f1o.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Economista advierte alza en alimentos y presi\u00f3n...<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":241782,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[60],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-241781","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economicas"],"yoast_head":"\nLuis Reyes alerta sobre inflaci\u00f3n por crisis en Medio Oriente - Sarmiento24h<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/sarmiento24h.com\/?p=241781\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"es_ES\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Luis Reyes alerta sobre inflaci\u00f3n por crisis en Medio Oriente - 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