{"id":243074,"date":"2026-05-28T05:36:50","date_gmt":"2026-05-28T05:36:50","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/almomento.net\/?p=1123256"},"modified":"2026-05-28T05:36:50","modified_gmt":"2026-05-28T05:36:50","slug":"prm-el-desenlace-todavia-luce-distante-opinion","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/sarmiento24h.com\/?p=243074","title":{"rendered":"PRM: el desenlace todav\u00eda luce distante (OPINION)"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"gs-tts-pro gs-tts-theme-light\" data-gs-tts-player readability=\"7\">\n<p> <strong>Escuchar art\u00edculo<\/strong> <br \/><button type=\"button\" class=\"gs-tts-btn gs-tts-start\" data-gs-tts-start>Reproducir<\/button> <button type=\"button\" class=\"gs-tts-btn gs-tts-pause\" data-gs-tts-pause>Pausar<\/button> <button type=\"button\" class=\"gs-tts-btn gs-tts-stop\" data-gs-tts-stop>Detener<\/button> <\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p>Cuando una encuesta otorga una ventaja significativa a un precandidato presidencial y, simult\u00e1neamente, otro actor exhibe capacidad de convocatoria multitudinaria en una plaza pol\u00edticamente emblem\u00e1tica, el an\u00e1lisis no puede quedarse en una lectura superficial.<\/p>\n<p>Eso parece estar ocurriendo dentro del Partido Revolucionario Moderno (PRM) con los recientes n\u00fameros favorables a David Collado y la demostraci\u00f3n de fuerza encabezada por Carolina Mej\u00eda en Santiago.<\/p>\n<p>La m\u00e1s reciente medici\u00f3n de Gallup coloca a Collado con una amplia ventaja en la preferencia interna perreme\u00edsta, registrando un 61.8 % frente al 21.1 % atribuido a Carolina Mej\u00eda.<\/p>\n<p>Los datos proyectan el mensaje de que actualmente David Collado parece representar la precandidatura m\u00e1s competitiva del oficialismo, tanto por su posicionamiento interno como por sus niveles de favorabilidad p\u00fablica.<\/p>\n<p>La encuesta refuerza la percepci\u00f3n de un liderazgo asociado a gesti\u00f3n, eficiencia y resultados, elementos particularmente valorados en una \u00e9poca donde el electorado parece inclinarse m\u00e1s hacia perfiles gerenciales que hac\u00eda discursos ideol\u00f3gicos tradicionales.<\/p>\n<p>Es harto conocido que la pol\u00edtica tiene algo de ciencia, algo de percepci\u00f3n y mucho de simbolismo, pero las encuestas, aunque relevantes, no son el \u00fanico term\u00f3metro pol\u00edtico.<\/p>\n<p>En Rep\u00fablica Dominicana existe una larga tradici\u00f3n de liderazgo territorial, estructuras partidarias y capacidad de movilizaci\u00f3n que tambi\u00e9n cuentan.<\/p>\n<p>Con la actividad masiva en La Arena de Santiago, Carolina Mej\u00eda parece enviar el mensaje claro de que posee estructura, lealtades, capacidad organizativa y voluntad real de competir.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-medium wp-image-1121316 alignleft\" src=\"https:\/\/almomento.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/Parrafo-9.-PRM-en-NY-y-NJ-1-300x287.jpg\" alt width=\"300\" height=\"287\" srcset=\"https:\/\/almomento.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/Parrafo-9.-PRM-en-NY-y-NJ-1-300x287.jpg 300w, https:\/\/almomento.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/Parrafo-9.-PRM-en-NY-y-NJ-1-99x95.jpg 99w, https:\/\/almomento.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/Parrafo-9.-PRM-en-NY-y-NJ-1-261x250.jpg 261w, https:\/\/almomento.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/Parrafo-9.-PRM-en-NY-y-NJ-1-230x220.jpg 230w, https:\/\/almomento.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/Parrafo-9.-PRM-en-NY-y-NJ-1.jpg 375w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\"><\/p>\n<p>En pol\u00edtica, las im\u00e1genes de una multitud tambi\u00e9n producen narrativa y mientras una encuesta mide intenci\u00f3n, una concentraci\u00f3n pol\u00edtica mide m\u00fasculo organizativo, disciplina territorial y capacidad de convocatoria. Son variables distintas, pero ambas forman parte de la ecuaci\u00f3n del poder.<\/p>\n<p>Incurrir\u00edamos&nbsp;en&nbsp;un error anal\u00edtico si concluimos prematuramente que una encuesta resuelve una competencia o, en sentido inverso, asumir que una gran actividad pol\u00edtica desmonta un liderazgo estad\u00edstico.<\/p>\n<p>Existe la probabilidad de que ambas cosas est\u00e9n ocurriendo simult\u00e1neamente, es decir, Collado fortalece su legitimidad demosc\u00f3pica y Carolina consolida legitimidad organizativa.<\/p>\n<p>Estamos, probablemente, frente a una disputa entre dos formas distintas de validaci\u00f3n pol\u00edtica relacionadas con la legitimidad de las encuestas y la legitimidad de la estructura.<\/p>\n<p>La primera tiene la virtud de capturar estados de opini\u00f3n en un momento espec\u00edfico, mientras la segunda posee la capacidad de sostener proyectos pol\u00edticos en el tiempo, movilizar simpat\u00edas y construir presencia territorial.<\/p>\n<p>La historia dominicana muestra abundantes casos de aspirantes que lideraban encuestas tempranas y luego enfrentaron dificultades partidarias, as\u00ed como figuras inicialmente subestimadas que terminaron acumulando fuerza competitiva gracias a organizaci\u00f3n y persistencia.<\/p>\n<p>El verdadero desaf\u00edo no parece estar solo en qui\u00e9n luce m\u00e1s fuerte hoy, sino en c\u00f3mo el PRM administrar\u00e1 una sucesi\u00f3n presidencial que inevitablemente comenz\u00f3 antes de tiempo.<\/p>\n<p>Si David Collado representa hoy la ventaja num\u00e9rica, Carolina Mej\u00eda apuesta a la pol\u00edtica de contacto, territorialidad y cohesi\u00f3n de estructuras.<\/p>\n<p>Todos sabemos que, en pol\u00edtica, las encuestas hablan, pero las multitudes tambi\u00e9n y casi nunca cuentan exactamente la misma historia. El desenlace todav\u00eda luce distante.<\/p>\n<p><i>jpm-am<\/i><\/p>\n<div class=\"heateor_sss_sharing_container heateor_sss_horizontal_sharing\" data-heateor-sss-href=\"https:\/\/almomento.net\/prm-el-desenlace-todavia-luce-distante-opinion\/\" readability=\"7\">\n<p>Comp\u00e1rtelo en tus redes:<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p> <!-- 468x60 --><br \/>\n<ins class=\"adsbygoogle\" data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-3511341636159665\" data-ad-slot=\"3538255450\"><\/ins> <!-- .entry-content --> <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Escuchar art\u00edculo Reproducir Pausar Detener Cuando una&#46;&#46;&#46;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":243075,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[61],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-243074","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-politica"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.6 - 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