{"id":278621,"date":"2026-06-11T18:47:21","date_gmt":"2026-06-11T18:47:21","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/69a49327ebc118b8f6c765bc"},"modified":"2026-06-11T18:47:21","modified_gmt":"2026-06-11T18:47:21","slug":"iran-afirma-que-el-estrecho-de-ormuz-esta-cerrado-ee-uu-dice-que-esta-abierto-que-esta-pasando","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/sarmiento24h.com\/?p=278621","title":{"rendered":"Ir\u00e1n afirma que el estrecho de Ormuz est\u00e1 cerrado. EE UU dice que est\u00e1 abierto. \u00bfQu\u00e9 est\u00e1 pasando?"},"content":{"rendered":"

Varias compa\u00f1\u00edas navieras ya han informado<\/a> de que est\u00e1n evitando el estrecho de Ormuz y prev\u00e9n retrasos y reprogramaci\u00f3n de los env\u00edos.<\/p>\n

\u00bfQu\u00e9 supondr\u00eda el cierre del estrecho?<\/h2>\n

No existe un sistema alternativo de exportaci\u00f3n a escala comparable. Arabia Saudita y los Emiratos \u00c1rabes Unidos (EAU) explotan oleoductos de derivaci\u00f3n, pero solo cubren una parte de los flujos del Golfo, mientras que Irak, Kuwait y Catar carecen de alternativas significativas.<\/p>\n

Si realmente se cerrara el estrecho, la mayor parte de las exportaciones de petr\u00f3leo del Golfo quedar\u00edan aisladas del mundo casi de inmediato. Incluso si Arabia Saudita y los EAU llevaran al l\u00edmite sus oleoductos alternativos, los analistas afirman que aproximadamente dos tercios de las exportaciones del Golfo seguir\u00edan bloqueadas.<\/p>\n

\n
\"Persona<\/picture><\/span><\/div>\n
\n
El internet por fin vuelve a Ir\u00e1n luego de tres meses de apag\u00f3n<\/a><\/div>\n

Los grupos de vigilancia de internet afirman que en Ir\u00e1n se est\u00e1 restableciendo cierta conectividad a la red tras casi 90 d\u00edas sin conexi\u00f3n. Pero no est\u00e1 claro si la reconexi\u00f3n es permanente.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

Los mercados de GNL tambi\u00e9n se ver\u00edan afectados. Catar, el mayor exportador mundial de gas natural licuado (una forma superenfriada de gas natural que se transporta en buques) depende casi por completo del estrecho de Ormuz para exportar su combustible.<\/p>\n

Si se bloqueara la ruta, los compradores asi\u00e1ticos podr\u00edan perder a sus proveedores clave en cuesti\u00f3n de d\u00edas. Econom\u00edas asi\u00e1ticas como Jap\u00f3n, Corea del Sur, China e India dependen<\/a> en gran medida del GNL importado para generar electricidad.<\/p>\n

Obtener petr\u00f3leo de otro lugar, como el Atl\u00e1ntico, supondr\u00eda tiempos de transporte m\u00e1s largos<\/a> y costes m\u00e1s elevados, lo que podr\u00eda elevar a\u00fan m\u00e1s los precios.<\/p>\n

C\u00f3mo podr\u00eda afectar a los consumidores<\/h2>\n

Los modelos hist\u00f3ricos sugieren que una p\u00e9rdida repentina del suministro del Golfo podr\u00eda hacer subir bruscamente los precios del petr\u00f3leo.<\/a><\/p>\n

Si eso ocurriera, los efectos llegar\u00edan r\u00e1pidamente a los consumidores: precios m\u00e1s altos de la gasolina, boletos de avi\u00f3n m\u00e1s caros y aumento de los costes de transporte que repercutir\u00edan en el precio de los alimentos y los productos.<\/p>\n

Los mercados financieros suelen reaccionar incluso antes de que aparezca la escasez f\u00edsica, con subidas de los futuros del petr\u00f3leo, debilitamiento de las acciones del sector del transporte y fortalecimiento de las divisas de los principales exportadores de energ\u00eda a medida que los operadores valoran el riesgo de interrupci\u00f3n.<\/p>\n

Las reservas estrat\u00e9gicas de petr\u00f3leo podr\u00edan moderar el impacto, pero las liberaciones llevan tiempo y no pueden sustituir totalmente a los grados de crudo del Golfo.<\/p>\n

En el Golfo, la interrupci\u00f3n de las exportaciones pondr\u00eda r\u00e1pidamente a prueba las finanzas p\u00fablicas. Pa\u00edses como Irak, Kuwait y Catar dependen en gran medida de los ingresos del petr\u00f3leo para financiar el gasto p\u00fablico. Si se interrumpieran los env\u00edos, las instalaciones de almacenamiento podr\u00edan llenarse r\u00e1pidamente, obligando a los productores a reducir la producci\u00f3n y perder ingresos.<\/p>\n

Los efectos del transporte mar\u00edtimo se extender\u00edan m\u00e1s all\u00e1 del petr\u00f3leo. El cambio de ruta de los petroleros, la revisi\u00f3n de los precios de los seguros y las zonas de riesgo naval tienden a elevar los fletes de los productos b\u00e1sicos a granel y del transporte mar\u00edtimo de contenedores, lo que repercute en la log\u00edstica mundial.<\/p>\n

ACTUALIZACI\u00d3N 11 de junio de 2026: Este art\u00edculo se ha actualizado para reflejar los nuevos acontecimientos en el estrecho de Ormuz, incluidas las afirmaciones iran\u00edes de que la v\u00eda mar\u00edtima ha sido cerrada, las declaraciones de EE UU de que el transporte mar\u00edtimo comercial contin\u00faa transitando por el corredor y las acciones militares reportadas que involucran a buques comerciales en el golfo de Om\u00e1n.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Varias compa\u00f1\u00edas navieras ya han informado de...<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":278622,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[46],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-278621","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tecnologia"],"yoast_head":"\nIr\u00e1n afirma que el estrecho de Ormuz est\u00e1 cerrado. 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