{"id":341226,"date":"2026-07-22T14:47:24","date_gmt":"2026-07-22T14:47:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/diariodigitalrd.com\/?p=712232"},"modified":"2026-07-22T14:47:24","modified_gmt":"2026-07-22T14:47:24","slug":"costo-de-asegurar-buques-en-ormuz-se-dispara-un-1900-tras-ataques","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/sarmiento24h.com\/?p=341226","title":{"rendered":"Costo de asegurar buques en Ormuz se dispara un 1900% tras ataques"},"content":{"rendered":"

Conflicto en Oriente Medio dispara primas mar\u00edtimas e infla alerta econ\u00f3mica.<\/strong><\/h2>\n

El precio del petr\u00f3leo registr\u00f3 un alza cercana al 4% este 22 de julio de 2026, situando el barril de crudo Brent<\/strong> en 94,23 d\u00f3lares y el West Texas Intermediate (WTI)<\/strong> en 87,46 d\u00f3lares, luego de que el Comando Central de Estados Unidos<\/strong> completara su und\u00e9cima noche consecutiva de ataques sobre territorio de Ir\u00e1n<\/strong>. <\/p>\n

Sin embargo, analistas financieros advierten que la cifra verdaderamente cr\u00edtica para la econom\u00eda mundial no reside en la cotizaci\u00f3n del crudo, sino en el vertiginoso incremento de casi un 1900% en el costo de los seguros para los buques cisterna que cruzan el estrat\u00e9gico estrecho de Ormuz<\/strong>, una v\u00eda mar\u00edtima clave por donde transita cerca de la quinta parte del petr\u00f3leo del planeta.<\/p>\n

La tensi\u00f3n diplom\u00e1tica y militar escal\u00f3 fuertemente tras las declaraciones del secretario de Estado Marco Rubio<\/strong> durante la reuni\u00f3n de ministros de Asuntos Exteriores de la ASEAN<\/strong> en Filipinas<\/strong>. El funcionario estadounidense acus\u00f3 a las autoridades de Teher\u00e1n<\/strong> de violar los acuerdos de navegaci\u00f3n en la zona y advirti\u00f3 sobre el peligro global que implicar\u00eda dejar el control de esa ruta mar\u00edtima en manos iran\u00edes. <\/p>\n

Frente a este panorama de hostilidad sostenida, Nigel Green<\/strong>, director ejecutivo de la firma de asesor\u00eda financiera deVere Group<\/strong>, alert\u00f3 que los mercados financieros est\u00e1n subestimando el impacto de la crisis al fijarse solo en los titulares del petr\u00f3leo en lugar de evaluar el costo real del riesgo f\u00edsico.<\/p>\n

\n
Nigel Green, director ejecutivo de deVere Group.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n

Seg\u00fan datos proporcionados por la Asociaci\u00f3n del Mercado de Lloyd\u2019s<\/strong>, la cobertura contra riesgos de guerra para los grandes petroleros pas\u00f3 de representar un 0,25 % del valor del casco a consolidarse en un 5 %. En t\u00e9rminos financieros, este ajuste implica que asegurar un buque tanque valorado en 100 millones de d\u00f3lares para un solo tr\u00e1nsito por la zona pas\u00f3 de costar unos 250,000 d\u00f3lares a sumar varios millones de d\u00f3lares. <\/p>\n

Desde la perspectiva de la firma deVere<\/strong>, este dr\u00e1stico encarecimiento fijado por las aseguradoras refleja la probabilidad real e inminente de un impacto militar sobre las embarcaciones comerciales, lo que podr\u00eda llevar a las empresas de transporte a rechazar la ruta y detonar una crisis de desabastecimiento.<\/p>\n

El impacto del conflicto ya se extiende de forma directa a los mercados burs\u00e1tiles e indicadores clave de la econom\u00eda global. Durante los episodios de mayor tensi\u00f3n, \u00edndices burs\u00e1tiles como el S&P 500<\/strong> y el Nasdaq<\/strong> han registrado ca\u00eddas consecutivas, al tiempo que sube el rendimiento de los bonos del Tesoro a 10 a\u00f1os debido al temor de una inflaci\u00f3n persistente impulsada por el sector energ\u00e9tico. <\/p>\n

Asimismo, la postura inflexible de la Reserva Federal<\/strong> frente a la inflaci\u00f3n ha provocado que el oro<\/strong> retroceda m\u00e1s de un 20 % desde el inicio de las hostilidades en febrero, rompiendo su comportamiento habitual como activo refugio.<\/p>\n

Esta disparidad entre el mercado de futuros petroleros y el sector asegurador plantea un escenario de alta incertidumbre para las cadenas de suministro internacionales. Si la prima por riesgo de guerra se mantiene en estos niveles extremos, el encarecimiento de los fletes terminara traslad\u00e1ndose de forma inmediata a los precios al consumidor a nivel mundial. <\/p>\n

Los pr\u00f3ximos d\u00edas ser\u00e1n decisivos para determinar si las gestiones diplom\u00e1ticas logran reabrir el paso seguro por el canal mar\u00edtimo o si la par\u00e1lisis del tr\u00e1fico comercial desencadenar\u00e1 una nueva ola inflacionaria global.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Conflicto en Oriente Medio dispara primas mar\u00edtimas...<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":341227,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[59,60],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-341226","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-actualidad","category-economicas"],"yoast_head":"\nCosto de asegurar buques en Ormuz se dispara un 1900% tras ataques - 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