{"id":3683,"date":"2025-12-14T11:16:04","date_gmt":"2025-12-14T11:16:04","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/almomento.net\/?p=1085682"},"modified":"2025-12-14T11:47:12","modified_gmt":"2025-12-14T11:47:12","slug":"escribi-comentario-mas-no-lei-articulo","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/sarmiento24h.com\/?p=3683","title":{"rendered":"Escrib\u00ed comentario, mas no le\u00ed art\u00edculo"},"content":{"rendered":"

<\/p>\n

\"imagen\"<\/a><\/p>\n

EL AUTOR es un exadministrador del Banco de Reservas. exministro de Hacienda de la Rep\u00fablica Dominicana y actual miembro de la direcci\u00f3n pol\u00edtica del partido Fuerza del Pueblo. Reside en Santo Domingo<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n

Por DANIEL TORIBIO<\/strong><\/p>\n

En su libro Memorias de un cortesano de la Era de Trujillo, el doctor Joaqu\u00edn Balaguer cuenta que escribi\u00f3 un texto titulado Trujillo y su obra, en el que elogiaba los principios del licenciado Rafael Estrella Ure\u00f1a. El poeta Osvaldo Bazil, entonces jefe de misi\u00f3n en Espa\u00f1a, fue quien redact\u00f3 el pr\u00f3logo, lleno de alabanzas hacia Estrella Ure\u00f1a.<\/p>\n

Bazil se enter\u00f3 de la molestia que ese pr\u00f3logo hab\u00eda causado en Trujillo y le envi\u00f3 un telegrama que dec\u00eda: \u201cJefe, escrib\u00ed pr\u00f3logo, mas no le\u00ed libro\u201d.<\/p>\n

Ese episodio resume bien lo ocurrido esta semana con un miembro de la Junta Monetaria que public\u00f3 un trabajo repitiendo que algunos economistas cuestionamos la metodolog\u00eda del Fondo Monetario Internacional usada por el Banco Central para medir la inversi\u00f3n extranjera. Si hubiese le\u00eddo mi art\u00edculo del s\u00e1bado pasado y otros que he escrito, habr\u00eda encontrado esta frase: \u201cNing\u00fan economista serio ha cuestionado la metodolog\u00eda del FMI. Pero ese no es el debate.\u201d<\/p>\n

El punto no es t\u00e9cnico, sino econ\u00f3mico. En ning\u00fan momento se ha planteado que el Banco Central incumpla los est\u00e1ndares del FMI. Lo que se ha se\u00f1alado, y sigue sin respuesta, es que ni en el informe del 18 de noviembre, ni en el del primero de diciembre, ni en las seis p\u00e1ginas de espacios pagados difundidos en la prensa, la instituci\u00f3n financiera explica cu\u00e1nto de la inversi\u00f3n extranjera reportada corresponde a capital nuevo y cu\u00e1nto a reinversi\u00f3n de utilidades. Ese detalle es fundamental para entender el impacto real de la IED.<\/p>\n

En 2024, m\u00e1s del 37 por ciento de la cifra anunciada como inversi\u00f3n extranjera fue reinversi\u00f3n. Son utilidades generadas en el pa\u00eds que no salieron. Aunque pueden interpretarse como un gesto de confianza, no representan entrada de divisas ni necesariamente expansi\u00f3n productiva. Desde la \u00f3ptica de la balanza de pagos, no es un flujo positivo, sino la permanencia de recursos. Presentarlo como si fueran d\u00f3lares frescos, como si fueran remesas recibidas, induce a conclusiones equivocadas.<\/p>\n

La transparencia no se garantiza reiterando que se aplica el manual del FMI, sino ofreciendo el desglose completo de los componentes, como hacen otros pa\u00edses de la regi\u00f3n. La pregunta es por qu\u00e9 aqu\u00ed no se hace.<\/p>\n

El art\u00edculo que pretendi\u00f3 defender al Banco Central evita el punto esencial. Repite un argumento que nadie ha discutido y deja de lado la cuesti\u00f3n central: cu\u00e1nto de la inversi\u00f3n anunciada transforma la econom\u00eda y cu\u00e1nto solo engrosa una cifra sin impacto visible.<\/p>\n

Las estad\u00edsticas pueden ser t\u00e9cnicamente correctas, pero sin contexto informan poco y confunden mucho. El pa\u00eds necesita claridad para saber cu\u00e1ntos d\u00f3lares son nuevos, cu\u00e1ntos permanecen y qu\u00e9 efecto real tienen.<\/p>\n

\n

Comp\u00e1rtelo en tus redes:<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

ALMOMENTO.NET publica los art\u00edculos de opini\u00f3n sin hacerles correcciones de redacci\u00f3n. Se reserva el derecho de rechazar los que est\u00e9n mal redactados, con errores de sintaxis o faltas ortogr\u00e1ficas.<\/p>\n


\n<\/ins> <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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