{"id":375421,"date":"2026-08-12T21:47:23","date_gmt":"2026-08-12T21:47:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/diariodigitalrd.com\/?p=714690"},"modified":"2026-08-12T21:47:23","modified_gmt":"2026-08-12T21:47:23","slug":"bcrd-explica-las-razones-detras-de-la-apreciacion-del-peso-dominicano-frente-dolar","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/sarmiento24h.com\/?p=375421","title":{"rendered":"BCRD explica las razones detr\u00e1s de la apreciaci\u00f3n del peso dominicano frente d\u00f3lar"},"content":{"rendered":"

El Banco Central atribuye el comportamiento cambiario al mayor flujo de divisas<\/h2>\n

SANTO DOMINGO.-<\/strong> El peso dominicano acumula una apreciaci\u00f3n de 8.1 % frente al d\u00f3lar estadounidense durante 2026, un comportamiento que el Banco Central atribuye principalmente al aumento de los ingresos de divisas provenientes de las exportaciones, el turismo, las remesas y la inversi\u00f3n extranjera directa.<\/p>\n

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<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n

Ante el debate generado en medios de comunicaci\u00f3n y entre analistas econ\u00f3micos sobre las causas y efectos de esta tendencia, el Banco Central de la Rep\u00fablica Dominicana (BCRD) explic\u00f3 que el comportamiento reciente del tipo de cambio debe analizarse dentro del esquema de metas de inflaci\u00f3n que aplica el pa\u00eds desde 2012.<\/p>\n

El organismo record\u00f3 que este modelo tiene como objetivo mantener la inflaci\u00f3n en torno al 4 %, con un margen de tolerancia de un punto porcentual hacia arriba o hacia abajo. Bajo este esquema, la pol\u00edtica monetaria tiene como principal referencia la estabilidad de los precios y no un nivel determinado del tipo de cambio.<\/p>\n

De acuerdo con el BCRD, desde la implementaci\u00f3n de las metas de inflaci\u00f3n, la inflaci\u00f3n interanual promedio se ha situado en 4.0 %, mientras se ha reducido tanto su nivel como su volatilidad. Esto, sostiene la instituci\u00f3n, ha contribuido a que las expectativas de los agentes econ\u00f3micos est\u00e9n cada vez m\u00e1s vinculadas a la meta de inflaci\u00f3n y no al comportamiento del d\u00f3lar, como ocurr\u00eda anteriormente.<\/p>\n

Mayor entrada de d\u00f3lares<\/strong><\/p>\n

En ese contexto, el Banco Central se\u00f1ala que una de las principales razones detr\u00e1s de la apreciaci\u00f3n del peso es el dinamismo de las actividades que generan divisas.<\/p>\n

Durante el primer semestre de 2026, las exportaciones alcanzaron US$8,746 millones; el turismo aport\u00f3 US$6,716 millones; las remesas llegaron a US$6,291 millones y la inversi\u00f3n extranjera directa sum\u00f3 US$3,277 millones.<\/p>\n

En conjunto, estos cuatro renglones generaron alrededor de US$2,800 millones adicionales respecto al mismo per\u00edodo de 2025. Ese incremento en la disponibilidad de divisas compens\u00f3, incluso, la mayor demanda asociada al aumento de la factura petrolera.<\/p>\n

Como resultado, el peso se ha apreciado 8.1 % frente al d\u00f3lar desde el cierre de 2025 y 5.4 % en t\u00e9rminos interanuales. El BCRD tambi\u00e9n destac\u00f3 que movimientos similares se han registrado en otros pa\u00edses latinoamericanos que aplican esquemas de metas de inflaci\u00f3n.<\/p>\n

Un mercado cambiario con mayor flexibilidad<\/strong><\/p>\n

Otro elemento se\u00f1alado por el Banco Central es el cambio en la clasificaci\u00f3n del r\u00e9gimen cambiario dominicano. En 2025, el Fondo Monetario Internacional (FMI) reclasific\u00f3 al pa\u00eds desde un r\u00e9gimen administrado hacia uno de flotaci\u00f3n.<\/p>\n

Esto significa que el valor del peso responde esencialmente a la oferta y la demanda de divisas. En ese marco, las intervenciones del Banco Central est\u00e1n dirigidas principalmente a moderar episodios de volatilidad excesiva que puedan representar riesgos para la inflaci\u00f3n o la estabilidad financiera.<\/p>\n

El BCRD precis\u00f3 que durante 2026 ha comprado US$415 millones en divisas, sin realizar ventas en el mercado spot. Esta informaci\u00f3n contradice, seg\u00fan la instituci\u00f3n, las opiniones que atribuyen la actual apreciaci\u00f3n del peso a intervenciones directas destinadas a fortalecer la moneda.<\/p>\n

El objetivo sigue siendo la estabilidad<\/strong><\/p>\n

Para el Banco Central, m\u00e1s que evitar las fluctuaciones cambiarias, lo importante es que estas sean compatibles con los fundamentos de la econom\u00eda. Un r\u00e9gimen de flotaci\u00f3n permite, adem\u00e1s, absorber con mayor flexibilidad los efectos de choques externos.<\/p>\n

Pese a la incertidumbre internacional y al aumento de los precios de algunas materias primas, la Rep\u00fablica Dominicana mantiene, seg\u00fan el BCRD, una posici\u00f3n macroecon\u00f3mica favorable, con crecimiento cercano a su potencial y un sistema financiero considerado robusto.<\/p>\n

La instituci\u00f3n proyecta que la inflaci\u00f3n cerrar\u00e1 2026 dentro del rango de 4 % \u00b1 1 %. Asimismo, espera que contin\u00fae el dinamismo de las actividades generadoras de divisas y estima un d\u00e9ficit de cuenta corriente cercano al 1.3 % del producto interno bruto, financiado ampliamente por la inversi\u00f3n extranjera directa.<\/p>\n

El Banco Central asegur\u00f3 finalmente que continuar\u00e1 monitoreando las condiciones internacionales y el mercado cambiario para adoptar las medidas de pol\u00edtica monetaria necesarias que permitan preservar la estabilidad de precios, el buen funcionamiento del mercado de divisas y la estabilidad macroecon\u00f3mica.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

El Banco Central atribuye el comportamiento cambiario...<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":375422,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[60],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-375421","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economicas"],"yoast_head":"\nBCRD explica las razones detr\u00e1s de la apreciaci\u00f3n del peso dominicano frente d\u00f3lar - 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