{"id":388243,"date":"2026-08-20T16:49:36","date_gmt":"2026-08-20T16:49:36","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/diariodigitalrd.com\/?p=715683"},"modified":"2026-08-20T16:49:36","modified_gmt":"2026-08-20T16:49:36","slug":"cepal-el-caribe-sin-cuba-y-haiti-creceria-56-en-2026-y-79-en-2027","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/sarmiento24h.com\/?p=388243","title":{"rendered":"CEPAL: El Caribe, sin Cuba y Hait\u00ed crecer\u00eda 5,6% en 2026 y 7,9% en 2027"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

La econom\u00eda de Am\u00e9rica Latina y el Caribe integrada crecer\u00eda 2,2% en 2026 y 2,5% en 2027, seg\u00fan el organismo.<\/strong><\/p>\n

La econom\u00eda de Am\u00e9rica Latina y el Caribe crecer\u00eda 2,2% en 2026<\/strong> y 2,5% en 2027<\/strong>, despu\u00e9s de registrar una expansi\u00f3n de 2,4% en 2025, pero la Comisi\u00f3n Econ\u00f3mica para Am\u00e9rica Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL) advirti\u00f3 que la alta informalidad<\/strong>, la baja inversi\u00f3n y el d\u00e9bil crecimiento de la productividad limitan la capacidad de la regi\u00f3n para avanzar hacia un desarrollo sostenido.<\/p>\n

La advertencia est\u00e1 contenida en la nueva edici\u00f3n del Estudio Econ\u00f3mico de Am\u00e9rica Latina y el Caribe 2026<\/em>, presentado este jueves 20 de agosto, que plantea la necesidad de impulsar estrategias de formalizaci\u00f3n productiva<\/strong> para elevar la productividad, mejorar la calidad del empleo y superar lo que el organismo denomina la \u201ctrampa de baja capacidad para crecer\u201d.<\/p>\n

De acuerdo con la CEPAL, si se cumplen las proyecciones, la regi\u00f3n completar\u00eda cinco a\u00f1os con un crecimiento promedio cercano al 2,3%<\/strong>, una tasa considerada insuficiente para aumentar de manera sostenida el ingreso por habitante, reducir las brechas de desarrollo y ampliar significativamente el margen de acci\u00f3n de las pol\u00edticas p\u00fablicas.<\/p>\n

El organismo atribuye parte de la desaceleraci\u00f3n prevista para 2026 al deterioro del escenario internacional, caracterizado por un menor crecimiento mundial, tensiones geopol\u00edticas, volatilidad financiera y presiones sobre los mercados energ\u00e9ticos.<\/p>\n

Sin embargo, identifica como principal obst\u00e1culo factores estructurales de la propia regi\u00f3n: bajos niveles de inversi\u00f3n, escaso crecimiento de la productividad, menor dinamismo en la creaci\u00f3n de empleos formales y una informalidad laboral elevada y persistente<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

El secretario ejecutivo de la CEPAL, Jos\u00e9 Manuel Salazar-Xirinachs, sostuvo que la estabilidad macroecon\u00f3mica alcanzada por la regi\u00f3n debe servir como plataforma para aumentar la inversi\u00f3n y la productividad y avanzar hacia una formalizaci\u00f3n productiva que fortalezca las capacidades de trabajadores y empresas.<\/p>\n

Crecimiento desigual entre subregiones<\/h3>\n

La CEPAL proyecta que Am\u00e9rica del Sur crecer\u00e1 2,5% tanto en 2026 como en 2027<\/strong>, mientras Am\u00e9rica Central registrar\u00eda una expansi\u00f3n de 1,6% este a\u00f1o y de 2,8% el pr\u00f3ximo.<\/p>\n

El organismo explic\u00f3 que las cifras centroamericanas est\u00e1n influenciadas por las contracciones previstas para Cuba y Hait\u00ed. Sin incluir esas dos econom\u00edas, el crecimiento promedio de la subregi\u00f3n alcanzar\u00eda 4,0% en 2026 y 4,2% en 2027<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

En el Caribe, la expansi\u00f3n ser\u00eda de 5,6% en 2026 y 7,9% en 2027<\/strong>, impulsada principalmente por el elevado crecimiento de Guyana. Al excluir ese pa\u00eds, las tasas ser\u00edan de 1,1% y 2,2%, respectivamente.<\/p>\n

El contexto mundial tambi\u00e9n plantea riesgos. La CEPAL estima que la econom\u00eda global crecer\u00e1 2,9% en 2026<\/strong>, su menor tasa desde 2022. Las tensiones geopol\u00edticas y las alteraciones en el suministro energ\u00e9tico han presionado los precios del petr\u00f3leo, fertilizantes y transporte.<\/p>\n

Empleo e informalidad<\/h3>\n

En 2025, el n\u00famero de personas ocupadas aument\u00f3 1,6%<\/strong>, equivalente a unos 4,3 millones de nuevos puestos de trabajo<\/strong>. No obstante, el ritmo de creaci\u00f3n de empleos se desaceler\u00f3 por tercer a\u00f1o consecutivo.<\/p>\n

La tasa de desocupaci\u00f3n baj\u00f3 a 5,3%<\/strong>, mientras la informalidad laboral continu\u00f3 reduci\u00e9ndose, aunque todav\u00eda alcanza a cerca de la mitad de las personas ocupadas<\/strong> en la regi\u00f3n.<\/p>\n

Seg\u00fan el estudio, la informalidad no constituye \u00fanicamente un problema laboral y de protecci\u00f3n social, sino tambi\u00e9n una limitaci\u00f3n estructural para aumentar la productividad. Las empresas formales tienen mayores posibilidades de aprovechar econom\u00edas de escala, incorporar innovaci\u00f3n, acceder a financiamiento y acumular capacidades productivas.<\/p>\n

Cuatro \u00e1reas para impulsar la formalizaci\u00f3n<\/h3>\n

Ante este escenario, la CEPAL plantea una estrategia integral basada en pol\u00edticas laborales, fiscales, financieras y de desarrollo productivo<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

En el \u00e1mbito laboral propone fortalecer la creaci\u00f3n de empleos, la capacitaci\u00f3n, la inserci\u00f3n laboral, la reducci\u00f3n de brechas de g\u00e9nero y la econom\u00eda del cuidado.<\/p>\n

En materia fiscal plantea mecanismos de protecci\u00f3n social que reduzcan los desincentivos a la formalidad, junto con procesos progresivos de formalizaci\u00f3n y mayor uso de herramientas digitales para simplificar el cumplimiento.<\/p>\n

Las pol\u00edticas financieras deber\u00edan fortalecer la banca de desarrollo, ampliar las garant\u00edas y considerar la diversidad de las empresas para facilitar el acceso al cr\u00e9dito.<\/p>\n

Finalmente, las pol\u00edticas de desarrollo productivo deber\u00edan ampliar el apoyo empresarial, promover la innovaci\u00f3n tecnol\u00f3gica, focalizar las intervenciones territoriales y fortalecer los sistemas de informaci\u00f3n, evaluaci\u00f3n y aprendizaje.<\/p>\n

La CEPAL concluye que reducir la informalidad<\/strong> es fundamental para aumentar la capacidad de crecimiento de la regi\u00f3n, mejorar el empleo, ampliar la protecci\u00f3n social y lograr avances sostenidos en productividad y transformaci\u00f3n productiva.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

La econom\u00eda de Am\u00e9rica Latina y el...<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":388244,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[59,60],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-388243","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-actualidad","category-economicas"],"yoast_head":"\nCEPAL: El Caribe, sin Cuba y Hait\u00ed crecer\u00eda 5,6% en 2026 y 7,9% en 2027 - 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