{"id":39938,"date":"2026-03-03T20:18:13","date_gmt":"2026-03-03T20:18:13","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/69a7137e336214157bafb7a2"},"modified":"2026-03-03T20:18:13","modified_gmt":"2026-03-03T20:18:13","slug":"la-guerra-en-iran-dispara-el-precio-del-petroleo-trump-decidira-hasta-donde-llega","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/sarmiento24h.com\/?p=39938","title":{"rendered":"La guerra en Ir\u00e1n dispara el precio del petr\u00f3leo; Trump decidir\u00e1 hasta d\u00f3nde llega"},"content":{"rendered":"<div><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/sarmiento24h.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/la-guerra-en-iran-dispara-el-precio-del-petroleo-trump-decidira-hasta-donde-llega.jpg\" class=\"ff-og-image-inserted\"><\/div>\n<p>El precio del petr\u00f3leo subi\u00f3 el lunes tras los ataques de Estados Unidos e Israel contra Ir\u00e1n este fin de semana, y algunos analistas predicen que pronto podr\u00eda superar los 100 d\u00f3lares el barril. En medio de la escalada de ataques a la infraestructura de petr\u00f3leo y gas en la regi\u00f3n y la interrupci\u00f3n del tr\u00e1fico en una ruta mar\u00edtima crucial, los expertos dicen a WIRED que la forma en que la Casa Blanca dirija el conflicto durante la pr\u00f3xima semana, as\u00ed como las respuestas de Ir\u00e1n y otros productores de petr\u00f3leo, ser\u00e1 clave para determinar qu\u00e9 tanto subir\u00e1n los precios finalmente.<\/p>\n<p>El precio del petr\u00f3leo Brent subi\u00f3 a casi 80 d\u00f3lares el barril, casi un 13% m\u00e1s que el viernes, al abrir los mercados el domingo por la noche. Seg\u00fan Tyson Slocum, director del programa de energ\u00eda del grupo progresista Public Citizen, el mercado lleva meses calculando el riesgo de una <a href=\"https:\/\/es.wired.com\/articulos\/estados-unidos-e-israel-lanzan-un-ataque-conjunto-contra-iran\">postura agresiva de EE UU hacia Ir\u00e1n<\/a>, lo que ha evitado que los precios suban a\u00fan m\u00e1s. Pero el desorganizado seguimiento estadounidense del ataque inicial, que mat\u00f3 al ayatol\u00e1 Ali Jamenei, l\u00edder supremo de Ir\u00e1n, est\u00e1 introduciendo mucha m\u00e1s incertidumbre.<\/p>\n<p>\u00abPor mucho que Trump diga: &#8216;Acabamos con Jamenei, sab\u00edamos exactamente d\u00f3nde estaba&#8217;, no hicimos lo mismo con las capacidades de ataque de Ir\u00e1n. Parece que nuestro plan era acabar con Jamenei y luego esperar lo mejor\u00bb, dice Slocum.<\/p>\n<h2>Ir\u00e1n controla el estrecho de Ormuz<\/h2>\n<p>Uno de cada cinco <a href=\"https:\/\/es.wired.com\/articulos\/cuanto-petroleo-tiene-venezuela-y-cuanto-vale-realmente\">barriles de petr\u00f3leo<\/a> viaja a trav\u00e9s de Ormuz, una de las rutas mar\u00edtimas m\u00e1s importantes del mundo. Los principales miembros de la Organizaci\u00f3n de Pa\u00edses Exportadores de Petr\u00f3leo (OPEP), el c\u00e1rtel del petr\u00f3leo y el gas dominante en el mundo, dependen casi por completo del estrecho para sacar su producto de la regi\u00f3n.<\/p>\n<p>\u00abDesde que estoy en el mercado del petr\u00f3leo, Ir\u00e1n y el cierre del Estrecho de Ormuz han sido el escenario de mayor riesgo para los precios\u00bb, afirma el investigador canadiense Rory Johnston. Normalmente, la OPEP responder\u00eda a una crisis internacional del petr\u00f3leo aumentando la producci\u00f3n. \u00abPero si la producci\u00f3n de emergencia de la OPEP est\u00e1 al otro lado de la zona problem\u00e1tica, no sirve de mucho\u00bb. Johnston compara la regi\u00f3n con una manguera de jard\u00edn, donde una torcedura en una secci\u00f3n puede disminuir la producci\u00f3n.<\/p>\n<p>A lo largo del fin de semana, <strong>mientras los funcionarios iran\u00edes enviaban mensajes contradictorios sobre si el estrecho estaba formalmente cerrado, el tr\u00e1fico a trav\u00e9s del estrecho se redujo casi a cero.<\/strong> Las compa\u00f1\u00edas de seguros han subido las p\u00f3lizas de los barcos que viajan por el estrecho, mientras que algunos barcos han sido alcanzados por ataques de drones. Lo que parece estar ocurriendo, dice Johnston, es m\u00e1s un \u00abcierre voluntario\u00bb que oficial.<\/p>\n<p>Hay escenarios peores para los precios del petr\u00f3leo que podr\u00edan desarrollarse en los pr\u00f3ximos d\u00edas que el simple cierre del estrecho. En septiembre de 2019, drones alcanzaron importantes instalaciones de producci\u00f3n de petr\u00f3leo al este de Riad, la capital de Arabia Saud\u00ed. Mientras que el movimiento rebelde Houthi en Yemen reivindic\u00f3 p\u00fablicamente la autor\u00eda del ataque, funcionarios estadounidenses culparon a Ir\u00e1n. El ataque dispar\u00f3 temporalmente los precios del petr\u00f3leo un 15%.<\/p>\n<p>El lunes, funcionarios saud\u00edes dijeron que hab\u00edan cerrado una importante refiner\u00eda nacional tras <a href=\"https:\/\/es.wired.com\/articulos\/los-drones-iranies-danaron-centros-de-datos-de-amazon-en-oriente-medio\">los ataques con drones<\/a>, mientras que otros campos de petr\u00f3leo y gas en toda la regi\u00f3n tambi\u00e9n fueron cerrados. Qatar LNG, el productor estatal de gas natural licuado del pa\u00eds, declar\u00f3 el lunes que interrump\u00eda la producci\u00f3n debido a los ataques, lo que dispar\u00f3 los precios del gas en Europa. Johnston afirma que este tipo de atentados graves y continuados podr\u00edan tener un enorme impacto en los precios.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>El precio del petr\u00f3leo subi\u00f3 el lunes&#46;&#46;&#46;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":39939,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[46],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-39938","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tecnologia"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.9 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>La guerra en Ir\u00e1n dispara el precio del petr\u00f3leo; 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