{"id":466588,"date":"2026-10-04T16:46:56","date_gmt":"2026-10-04T16:46:56","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/6ac26e9cd8910fd617d2ca6d"},"modified":"2026-10-04T16:46:56","modified_gmt":"2026-10-04T16:46:56","slug":"un-triunfo-de-flavio-bolsonaro-en-brasil-pondria-el-95-de-la-amazonia-bajo-gobiernos-de-derecha","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/sarmiento24h.com\/?p=466588","title":{"rendered":"Un triunfo de Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro en Brasil pondr\u00eda el 95% de la Amazon\u00eda bajo gobiernos de derecha"},"content":{"rendered":"

Entre 2025 y 2026, Bolivia, Per\u00fa y Colombia eligieron l\u00edderes que hicieron campa\u00f1a contra la protecci\u00f3n ambiental<\/strong> y a favor de la militarizaci\u00f3n, la miner\u00eda y la expansi\u00f3n del agronegocio. En Ecuador, el presidente Daniel Noboa, reelegido en 2025, tambi\u00e9n se apoya en posturas ultraconservadoras en materia de seguridad p\u00fablica, al tiempo que volvi\u00f3 a abrir las puertas del pa\u00eds a la miner\u00eda<\/a> y debilit\u00f3 las instituciones ambientales.<\/p>\n

En ese contexto, los analistas se\u00f1alan que el resultado de las elecciones brasile\u00f1as podr\u00eda dar lugar a una \u201calianza conservadora\u201d al frente de la Amazon\u00eda a partir del pr\u00f3ximo a\u00f1o o podr\u00edan obligar a Lula da Silva a gobernar en un contexto de aislamiento diplom\u00e1tico durante un eventual cuarto mandato.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Los cambios pol\u00edticos podr\u00edan, adem\u00e1s, replantear la cooperaci\u00f3n en las zonas fronterizas. Las conversaciones sobre una estrategia conjunta para proteger el bosque y a sus poblaciones corren el riesgo de perder terreno frente a una agenda de \u201ctolerancia cero\u201d contra el crimen organizado, cuyas consecuencias<\/a> se sienten especialmente en esas regiones.<\/p>\n

Si la conservaci\u00f3n deja de ser una prioridad regional, tambi\u00e9n quedar\u00eda en entredicho el futuro de las entidades intergubernamentales dedicadas al desarrollo sostenible y a los derechos ind\u00edgenas<\/strong>, como la Organizaci\u00f3n del Tratado de Cooperaci\u00f3n Amaz\u00f3nica (OTCA)<\/a>. Por otra parte, podr\u00edan cobrar impulso los proyectos de infraestructura transamaz\u00f3nica, muy cuestionados por sus posibles impactos ambientales<\/a>.<\/p>\n

\u201cEl desaf\u00edo [para la Amazon\u00eda] seguir\u00e1 siendo enorme\u201d, dijo Astrini. \u201cEl margen de influencia de un gobierno brasile\u00f1o que se preocupa por el ambiente ya es limitado. Se puede contar con acciones complementarias de los pa\u00edses [vecinos], siempre que est\u00e9n dispuestos. Pero desde el momento en que llega un nuevo gobierno y niega el cambio clim\u00e1tico, la capacidad de influencia de otro gobierno, sea cual sea, [en t\u00e9rminos de conservaci\u00f3n] es muy baja\u201d.<\/p>\n

Los datos<\/a> del Programa de Monitoreo de la Amazon\u00eda Andina (Maap) muestran que la deforestaci\u00f3n en toda la Amazon\u00eda ha fluctuado durante los \u00faltimos a\u00f1os. En 2024, los incendios alcanzaron un impacto r\u00e9cord: da\u00f1aron alrededor de 2.8 millones de hect\u00e1reas<\/strong> en medio de las sequ\u00edas extremas asociadas a El Ni\u00f1o. La deforestaci\u00f3n total aument\u00f3 un 34%.<\/strong><\/p>\n

En 2025 se produjo una recuperaci\u00f3n parcial. La superficie afectada por el fuego disminuy\u00f3 y la p\u00e9rdida de bosque por deforestaci\u00f3n cay\u00f3 a su nivel m\u00e1s bajo en los \u00faltimos diez a\u00f1os. Hasta ahora, aproximadamente el 13% del bioma ha sido deforestado<\/strong>, seg\u00fan Maap<\/a>.<\/p>\n

\n
\n
\"Lula<\/picture><\/span><\/div>\n
\n
Lula da Silva y Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro: Dos modelos para gobernar la IA y los datos de Brasil<\/a><\/div>\n

Los programas de ambos candidatos coinciden en impulsar la digitalizaci\u00f3n, los centros de datos y la IA, pero difieren en el papel que deber\u00eda asumir el Estado frente a la regulaci\u00f3n tecnol\u00f3gica.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

\n

Giro a la derecha<\/h2>\n

En 2023, cuando Lula subi\u00f3 la rampa del Palacio de Planalto, sede del gobierno en Brasilia, acompa\u00f1ado por representantes de la sociedad civil, el cacique ind\u00edgena Raoni Metuktire lo acompa\u00f1aba. El acto fue una respuesta directa a Jair Bolsonaro \u2014quien se neg\u00f3 a entregar la banda presidencial\u2014 y al legado de crisis ambiental que dej\u00f3 su gobierno<\/a> saliente. Tras la reactivaci\u00f3n de las pol\u00edticas ambientales durante la administraci\u00f3n de Lula, la deforestaci\u00f3n en la Amazon\u00eda brasile\u00f1a cay\u00f3 a su nivel m\u00e1s bajo en diez a\u00f1os<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Bolivia tom\u00f3 el rumbo contrario. La victoria del presidente Rodrigo Paz en 2025<\/strong>, bajo el lema \u201ccapitalismo para todos\u201d, puso fin a casi 20 a\u00f1os de gobiernos de izquierda<\/strong> encabezados por el hasta entonces dominante Movimiento al Socialismo (MAS) y dio paso a cambios ambientales.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Entre 2025 y 2026, Bolivia, Per\u00fa y...<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":466589,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[46],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-466588","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tecnologia"],"yoast_head":"\nUn triunfo de Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro en Brasil pondr\u00eda el 95% de la Amazon\u00eda bajo gobiernos de derecha - 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