{"id":479059,"date":"2026-10-11T16:00:58","date_gmt":"2026-10-11T16:00:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/diariodigitalrd.com\/?p=722872"},"modified":"2026-10-11T16:00:58","modified_gmt":"2026-10-11T16:00:58","slug":"unctad-reduce-la-prevision-de-crecimiento-mundial-para-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/sarmiento24h.com\/?p=479059","title":{"rendered":"Unctad reduce la previsi\u00f3n de crecimiento mundial para 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

El comercio global alcanz\u00f3 US$35 billones en 2025, pero persisten los riesgos energ\u00e9ticos y financieros.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Nueva York. La econom\u00eda mundial crecer\u00e1 un 2,6 % en 2026, por debajo del 2,9 % registrado en 2025, mientras que las econom\u00edas en desarrollo reducir\u00e1n su ritmo de expansi\u00f3n del 4,7 % al 4 %, seg\u00fan el Informe sobre Comercio y Desarrollo 2026: la geoeconom\u00eda del desarrollo<\/em>, presentado este viernes 9 de octubre por ONU Comercio y Desarrollo (Unctad)<\/strong> en Ginebra, Suiza.<\/p>\n

El organismo de las Naciones Unidas estima que el comercio mundial de bienes y servicios aumentar\u00e1 alrededor de un 4 % este a\u00f1o, despu\u00e9s de alcanzar un valor r\u00e9cord de US$35 billones en 2025. Sin embargo, advirti\u00f3 que buena parte del incremento previsto para 2026 responde al encarecimiento de los productos provocado por la crisis energ\u00e9tica.<\/p>\n

El informe, recogido por IPS, sostiene que las tensiones geopol\u00edticas, las pol\u00edticas industriales y tecnol\u00f3gicas y las restricciones comerciales est\u00e1n modificando los flujos internacionales de bienes, inversiones y capitales, con efectos desiguales entre las econom\u00edas desarrolladas y los pa\u00edses en desarrollo.<\/p>\n

Deuda de pa\u00edses en desarrollo crece m\u00e1s r\u00e1pido y duplica intereses de naciones ricas<\/a><\/p>\n

Asia concentra el crecimiento mundial<\/h2>\n

Seg\u00fan las proyecciones de la Unctad<\/strong>, Asia aportar\u00e1 el 59 % del crecimiento econ\u00f3mico mundial en 2026. Entre las principales econom\u00edas de la regi\u00f3n, India<\/strong> crecer\u00e1 un 7,3 %, China<\/strong> un 4,5 % e Indonesia<\/strong> un 5,2 %.<\/p>\n

Tambi\u00e9n destacan las previsiones para Kirguist\u00e1n<\/strong>, con un 8,8 %; Uzbekist\u00e1n<\/strong>, con un 7,9 %; Vietnam<\/strong>, con un 7,8 %; Mongolia<\/strong>, con un 7 %; y Tayikist\u00e1n<\/strong>, con un 6,6 %.<\/p>\n

El documento se\u00f1ala que un grupo reducido de econom\u00edas asi\u00e1ticas en desarrollo contin\u00faa reduciendo la brecha de ingresos con los pa\u00edses avanzados, mientras que la convergencia econ\u00f3mica se ha estancado en buena parte del mundo en desarrollo desde mediados de la d\u00e9cada de 2010.<\/p>\n

Asimismo, el comercio entre China<\/strong> y Estados Unidos<\/strong> cay\u00f3 m\u00e1s de un 20 % desde 2024, mientras Asia oriental ampli\u00f3 sus intercambios con China y Am\u00e9rica del Norte.<\/p>\n

Los semiconductores, los equipos inform\u00e1ticos avanzados y los productos vinculados con la inteligencia artificial (IA) ganan protagonismo en el comercio mundial. No obstante, el informe advierte que este crecimiento no garantiza beneficios generales para el desarrollo.<\/p>\n

Las econom\u00edas desarrolladas captaron alrededor del 70 % del valor de los proyectos anunciados de inversi\u00f3n totalmente nueva en sectores estrat\u00e9gicos entre 2020 y 2025. En contraste, las econom\u00edas en desarrollo concentraron el 60 % de esas inversiones en minerales cr\u00edticos y materiales estrat\u00e9gicos.<\/p>\n

Deuda de pa\u00edses en desarrollo crece m\u00e1s r\u00e1pido y duplica intereses de naciones ricas<\/a><\/p>\n

Crisis energ\u00e9tica y riesgos financieros<\/h2>\n

El informe tambi\u00e9n alerta sobre el impacto del encarecimiento de la energ\u00eda en los pa\u00edses dependientes de las importaciones y en los hogares de menores ingresos.<\/p>\n

Superintendencia de Bancos busca frenar el sobreendeudamiento y los cobros abusivos<\/a><\/p>\n

El conflicto en Medio Oriente elev\u00f3 el precio del petr\u00f3leo Brent de US$70 a m\u00e1s de US$110 por barril en las semanas posteriores a su estallido. Seg\u00fan el documento, esta situaci\u00f3n agrava los costos de endeudamiento y la volatilidad de los flujos de capital, que se han duplicado desde el inicio del conflicto.<\/p>\n

A estos riesgos se suma la previsi\u00f3n de que la asistencia oficial para el desarrollo disminuya casi un 7 % en 2026, lo que representar\u00eda su tercer descenso anual consecutivo.<\/p>\n

El secretario general interino de la Unctad<\/strong>, Pedro Manuel Moreno<\/strong>, afirm\u00f3 que las econom\u00edas emergentes del Sur Global est\u00e1n ampliando su integraci\u00f3n comercial mediante nuevas iniciativas financieras y regionales.<\/p>\n

Entre las recomendaciones, el organismo plantea diversificar las estructuras comerciales, coordinar las pol\u00edticas industriales, financieras y tecnol\u00f3gicas, fortalecer los proveedores locales y aumentar el valor a\u00f1adido nacional.<\/p>\n

Tambi\u00e9n destaca el potencial de las energ\u00edas renovables: desde 2024, estas han resultado m\u00e1s baratas que la alternativa de nueva instalaci\u00f3n basada en combustibles f\u00f3siles de menor costo en m\u00e1s del 90 % de los casos analizados.<\/p>\n

Finalmente, el informe resalta iniciativas de integraci\u00f3n como la Zona de Libre Comercio Continental Africana<\/strong> y el Sistema Panafricano de Pagos y Liquidaci\u00f3n<\/strong>, que busca conectar 42 monedas africanas para facilitar las transacciones y reducir las barreras de pago.<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

El comercio global alcanz\u00f3 US$35 billones en...<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":479060,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[60],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-479059","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economicas"],"yoast_head":"\nUnctad reduce la previsi\u00f3n de crecimiento mundial para 2026 - 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