{"id":481178,"date":"2026-10-12T19:19:40","date_gmt":"2026-10-12T19:19:40","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/6acd035fde65c5f411c86bff"},"modified":"2026-10-12T19:19:40","modified_gmt":"2026-10-12T19:19:40","slug":"un-simulacro-diplomatico-para-enfriar-la-tierra-termino-en-un-desastre","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/sarmiento24h.com\/?p=481178","title":{"rendered":"Un simulacro diplom\u00e1tico para enfriar la Tierra termin\u00f3 en un desastre"},"content":{"rendered":"<div><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/media.es.wired.com\/photos\/6acd035e9a0061286a4faac0\/16:9\/w_1280,c_limit\/NewsFeature_They%20war-gamed%20dimming%20the%20sun_v1.jpg\" class=\"ff-og-image-inserted\"><\/div>\n<p>A la hora de decidir el destino del planeta, Colleen Golja siempre pens\u00f3 que la ciencia y la raz\u00f3n tendr\u00edan voz y voto. Eso fue hasta una ma\u00f1ana de septiembre en Londres, cuando esta investigadora clim\u00e1tica particip\u00f3 en el primero de una serie de simulacros de guerra. El objetivo era evitar una carrera mundial descontrolada por desarrollar una tecnolog\u00eda destinada a enfriar el planeta, pero que conlleva enormes riesgos desconocidos que podr\u00edan transformar la vida en la Tierra.<\/p>\n<p>\u00abPensaba que ser\u00eda algo muy sencillo. Todos nos pondr\u00edamos de acuerdo para llevar a cabo una investigaci\u00f3n \u00e9tica y asegurarnos de que fuera por el bien de toda la humanidad. Vaya que me equivoqu\u00e9\u00bb, explica a WIRED.<\/p>\n<p>La simulaci\u00f3n, titulada \u00abExploraci\u00f3n de puntos de inflexi\u00f3n geopol\u00edticos y estrategias de enfriamiento clim\u00e1tico\u00bb, reuni\u00f3 a varias docenas de expertos en relaciones internacionales, cient\u00edficos, personal militar y exfuncionarios de todo el mundo en una sala de reuniones de la Universidad Queen Mary de Londres. Despu\u00e9s de presentarse mientras tomaban caf\u00e9 y yogurt, los participantes ocuparon mesas dispuestas en forma de cuadrado, cada una identificada con el pa\u00eds u organizaci\u00f3n que representaban: gobiernos nacionales, ONG clim\u00e1ticas, organizaciones sin fines de lucro, grupos ind\u00edgenas y empresas tecnol\u00f3gicas.<\/p>\n<p>A Golja le correspondi\u00f3 brindar asesor\u00eda t\u00e9cnica para ayudar a los participantes a tomar decisiones respaldadas por evidencia cient\u00edfica.<\/p>\n<p>El objetivo del juego era poner a prueba la respuesta mundial ante un conjunto de tecnolog\u00edas potenciales conocidas colectivamente como \u00abmodificaci\u00f3n de <a href=\"https:\/\/es.wired.com\/articulos\/senal-de-radio-proveniente-del-sol-duro-19-dias-y-nadie-sabe-como-paso\">la radiaci\u00f3n solar<\/a>\u00ab. Estas tecnolog\u00edas prometen revertir <a href=\"https:\/\/es.wired.com\/articulos\/el-calentamiento-global-no-solo-no-frena-se-acelera\">el calentamiento global<\/a> reflejando una parte de la luz solar que llega a la Tierra, por ejemplo, rociando part\u00edculas de di\u00f3xido de azufre u otra sustancia sint\u00e9tica en la atm\u00f3sfera. El efecto de enfriamiento de este tipo de geoingenier\u00eda solar est\u00e1 ampliamente respaldado. Imitar\u00eda los conocidos efectos de las grandes erupciones volc\u00e1nicas, que enfr\u00edan temporalmente el planeta medio grado o m\u00e1s. Pero las consecuencias son menos seguras y menos equitativas.<\/p>\n<p>Algunas regiones se ver\u00e1n afectadas: los modelos predicen una mayor sequ\u00eda en el \u00c1frica subsahariana y tormentas tropicales m\u00e1s intensas en el Atl\u00e1ntico. Adem\u00e1s, el efecto de enfriamiento solo durar\u00eda mientras se mantuviera la geoingenier\u00eda; despu\u00e9s, la temperatura global podr\u00eda volver a dispararse con efectos imprevisibles y dif\u00edciles de predecir.<\/p>\n<h2>Hasta hace poco, la radiaci\u00f3n solar era un nicho especulativo de la ciencia clim\u00e1tica<\/h2>\n<p>Pero eso ha cambiado r\u00e1pidamente. Las empresas privadas est\u00e1n explorando la geoingenier\u00eda solar como una oportunidad comercial: el a\u00f1o pasado, una <em>startup<\/em> estadounidense-israel\u00ed llamada Stardust Solutions recaud\u00f3 60 millones de d\u00f3lares y, en mayo, dio a conocer los detalles de un conjunto de nuevos inventos que \u00abdar\u00edan a los seres humanos la capacidad de reducir la temperatura global seg\u00fan se desee\u00bb. En agosto, <a href=\"https:\/\/es.wired.com\/articulos\/elon-musk-fusiona-xai-con-spacex-para-crear-la-empresa-privada-mas-valiosa-del-mundo\">Elon Musk, cuya empresa SpaceX<\/a> podr\u00eda ser una candidata para llevar a cabo intervenciones de geoingenier\u00eda, se pronunci\u00f3 a favor de la geoingenier\u00eda solar, escribiendo en X: \u00abSe necesitar\u00e1n sat\u00e9lites espaciales para controlar la temperatura y una geoingenier\u00eda a gran escala, o se acabar\u00e1 el juego\u00bb.<\/p>\n<p>El mundo va a tener que tomar decisiones sobre c\u00f3mo regular esta tecnolog\u00eda mucho antes de lo que la mayor\u00eda de los responsables pol\u00edticos imaginan, declar\u00f3 a WIRED Cynthia Scharf, exasesora de la ONU: \u00abNo ser\u00e1 dentro de quince a\u00f1os; ser\u00e1 en la pr\u00f3xima d\u00e9cada\u00bb.<\/p>\n<p>En este contexto, Danielle Young, profesora adjunta de relaciones internacionales en la Universidad de Leeds, organiz\u00f3 el juego de simulaci\u00f3n. El escenario era un comit\u00e9 de la ONU convocado a toda prisa y encargado de coordinar la respuesta internacional a los avances en geoingenier\u00eda solar. El juego se desarroll\u00f3 a trav\u00e9s de reuniones simuladas ambientadas en tres momentos distintos: el presente, septiembre de 2027 y septiembre de 2028. En cada etapa, la apuesta se iba elevando, y los creadores del juego introduc\u00edan nuevos avances en la tecnolog\u00eda de reflexi\u00f3n de la luz solar. Al igual que en la vida real, nadie conoc\u00eda todos los hechos, y los participantes ten\u00edan que responder a acontecimientos que acercaban al mundo a un intento a gran escala de desplegar tecnolog\u00eda de geoingenier\u00eda solar, incluso cuando tal vez no tuvieran una visi\u00f3n completa de lo que realmente hab\u00eda ocurrido, o de lo que estaban tramando los dem\u00e1s.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A la hora de decidir el destino&#46;&#46;&#46;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":481179,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[46],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-481178","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tecnologia"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.6 - 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