{"id":506593,"date":"2026-10-26T22:27:09","date_gmt":"2026-10-26T22:27:09","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/6adf9b72caf4368f38f94b3f"},"modified":"2026-10-26T22:27:09","modified_gmt":"2026-10-26T22:27:09","slug":"lo-que-hace-mas-fuerte-a-anthropic-es-tambien-lo-que-mas-miedo-le-causa","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/sarmiento24h.com\/?p=506593","title":{"rendered":"Lo que hace m\u00e1s fuerte a Anthropic es tambi\u00e9n lo que m\u00e1s miedo le causa"},"content":{"rendered":"<div><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/media.es.wired.com\/photos\/6adf9b71caf4368f38f94b3d\/16:9\/w_1280,c_limit\/Business_The%20Anthropic%20IPO%20Is%20Also%20a%20Doomsday%20Primer_v1.jpg\" class=\"ff-og-image-inserted\"><\/div>\n<p>Anthropic present\u00f3 oficialmente el <a href=\"https:\/\/es.wired.com\/articulos\/anthropic-abre-sus-cuentas-antes-de-salir-a-bolsa-y-revela-cuanto-dinero-mueve-realmente-la-ia\">folleto informativo para su oferta p\u00fablica inicial<\/a>, lo que significa que el laboratorio de IA ha hecho p\u00fablica toda clase de informaci\u00f3n que antes era privada. Aunque contiene los impresionantes ingresos (y gastos a\u00fan mayores) que cabr\u00eda esperar, la secci\u00f3n m\u00e1s extensa del documento est\u00e1 dedicada a los \u201cfactores de riesgo\u201d, todos aquellos aspectos que podr\u00edan echar por tierra los grandes planes de Anthropic. O a la propia humanidad, claro.<\/p>\n<p>Aunque se ha hablado mucho sobre hasta qu\u00e9 punto <a href=\"https:\/\/es.wired.com\/articulos\/experto-de-anthropic-estima-en-mas-de-10-el-riesgo-de-que-la-ia-acabe-con-la-humanidad-en-la-proxima-decada\">la IA representa una amenaza existencial<\/a> para la humanidad, los mecanismos espec\u00edficos mediante los cuales podr\u00eda provocar esa destrucci\u00f3n son en gran medida opacos. Como m\u00ednimo, las 94 p\u00e1ginas que el folleto de Anthropic dedica a los factores de riesgo dejan claro tanto de d\u00f3nde ve que proviene el peligro como las formas en que sus investigadores se est\u00e1n lanzando hacia \u00e9l para ganar la carrera armament\u00edstica de la IA.<\/p>\n<h2>Advertencia<\/h2>\n<p>\u201cLos sistemas de IA suficientemente avanzados podr\u00edan, si no se desarrollaran, implementaran y operaran con las salvaguardias, la supervisi\u00f3n y las medidas de seguridad adecuadas, suponer riesgos catastr\u00f3ficos o existenciales para la humanidad\u201d, reza el folleto, citando preocupaciones tanto de cr\u00edticos y reguladores como de dentro de la propia Anthropic. (Es la primera de las tres veces que aparece la expresi\u00f3n \u201criesgos existenciales\u201d).<\/p>\n<p>Sin embargo, Anthropic se cuida de vincular ese resultado a un proceso espec\u00edfico: la <a href=\"https:\/\/es.wired.com\/articulos\/por-que-los-investigadores-de-ia-creen-que-las-maquinas-podrian-matar-a-todo-el-mundo\">automejora recursiva<\/a> (RSI).<\/p>\n<p>La idea que subyace a la RSI es sorprendentemente sencilla. Describe un estado en el que los humanos ceden la investigaci\u00f3n y el desarrollo de modelos de IA a otros modelos de IA. La IA ya desempe\u00f1a un papel importante en este \u00e1mbito (y al menos un laboratorio ha utilizado algo parecido a la RSI para acelerar el desarrollo de un modelo que rinde por encima de lo que cabr\u00eda esperar de su categor\u00eda), pero el escenario que desata los discursos apocal\u00edpticos es aquel en el que los humanos ya no participan en absoluto en el proceso.<\/p>\n<p>O, como lo expresa el documento de Anthropic: \u201cLos riesgos aumentar\u00e1n a medida que los sistemas de IA automaticen sustancialmente la investigaci\u00f3n y el desarrollo de la IA si, por ejemplo, aceleran el progreso de la IA m\u00e1s all\u00e1 de nuestra capacidad para evaluar y proteger los nuevos modelos\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>El folleto se\u00f1ala repetidamente que la RSI podr\u00eda dar lugar a modelos de IA que se desarrollen m\u00e1s r\u00e1pido que las medidas de seguridad de la empresa, y que es posible que esta ni siquiera se d\u00e9 cuenta de que ha perdido esa carrera hasta que sea demasiado tarde. Anthropic no respondi\u00f3 de inmediato a una solicitud de comentarios.<\/p>\n<h2>Detalles sobre lo que podr\u00eda suceder a continuaci\u00f3n<\/h2>\n<p>\u201cA medida que los sistemas de IA se vuelven m\u00e1s aut\u00f3nomos y capaces de llevar a cabo acciones con consecuencias importantes con menos supervisi\u00f3n humana\u201d, se\u00f1ala el folleto, \u201cexiste el riesgo de que dichos sistemas puedan, ya sea debido a una desalineaci\u00f3n con las intenciones humanas, a errores en la especificaci\u00f3n de los objetivos o a comportamientos de autopreservaci\u00f3n, emprender acciones perjudiciales de forma independiente y a gran escala sin intervenci\u00f3n humana\u201d. Esto ya es terreno de Skynet.<\/p>\n<p>Hablando de robots, Anthropic tambi\u00e9n se\u00f1ala preocupaciones al respecto. \u201cCuando nuestros modelos controlan equipos f\u00edsicos\u201d, reza el documento, \u201clos errores, los comportamientos desalineados, la manipulaci\u00f3n adversaria o el uso indebido podr\u00edan provocar lesiones f\u00edsicas, da\u00f1os materiales, da\u00f1os a equipos costosos o materiales experimentales, o la liberaci\u00f3n de sustancias peligrosas. Dichas consecuencias pueden ser inmediatas e irreversibles\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>Se podr\u00eda pensar, dada la importancia aparentemente existencial que est\u00e1 en juego, que se considerar\u00eda seriamente si se debe seguir adelante con la RSI. Sin embargo, en un sector tan competitivo como el de la IA de vanguardia, se ha convertido en un hecho consumado. As\u00ed es como Anthropic describe ese mismo proceso en otra parte del folleto, esta vez en una secci\u00f3n sobre las \u201cventajas fundamentales\u201d de la <em>startup<\/em>:<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Anthropic present\u00f3 oficialmente el folleto informativo para&#46;&#46;&#46;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":506594,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[46],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-506593","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tecnologia"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.6 - 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