{"id":508078,"date":"2026-10-27T16:28:46","date_gmt":"2026-10-27T16:28:46","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/6ae0b792040bd13aab4f964a"},"modified":"2026-10-27T16:28:46","modified_gmt":"2026-10-27T16:28:46","slug":"que-esconde-anthropic-en-el-documento-de-su-gran-debut-en-bolsa","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/sarmiento24h.com\/?p=508078","title":{"rendered":"\u00bfQu\u00e9 esconde Anthropic en el documento de su gran debut en bolsa?"},"content":{"rendered":"<div><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/media.es.wired.com\/photos\/6ae0b791f3241a963b5a7171\/16:9\/w_1280,c_limit\/Anthropic3.jpg\" class=\"ff-og-image-inserted\"><\/div>\n<p>Anthropic explica que los chips se abordan como un \u201cfondo \u00fanico y fungible procedente de m\u00faltiples socios estrat\u00e9gicos\u201d, entre los que se incluyen Amazon, Google, Nvidia y AMD. La empresa destaca que ha firmado contratos \u201ccon un gasto comprometido total de m\u00e1s de ____ d\u00f3lares, de los cuales pr\u00e1cticamente la totalidad est\u00e1 relacionada con la computaci\u00f3n y la infraestructura\u201d. Algunos de estos contratos est\u00e1n previstos que finalicen antes de diciembre de 2030, mientras que otros podr\u00edan prolongarse hasta 2045.<\/p>\n<h2>El diablo est\u00e1 en los detalles<\/h2>\n<p>Aunque el prospecto informativo aborda las incertidumbres de Anthropic en materia de capacidad de c\u00e1lculo debido a factores como la escasez de terreno y de recursos energ\u00e9ticos, Patrick Moorhead, director ejecutivo y analista jefe de Moor Insights &amp; Strategy, cree que se debe ofrecer m\u00e1s detalle a los inversores.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cSe trata de caracterizar las probabilidades y el impacto de forma individual en cada una de las \u00e1reas. Anthropic debe a los inversionistas m\u00e1s informaci\u00f3n, como la probabilidad de que se produzcan estos problemas concretos, especificando el porcentaje de probabilidad y el grado de impacto\u201d, explica a WIRED. \u201cNo basta con decir \u2018podr\u00eda tener un impacto significativo\u2019\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>Anthropic s\u00ed ofrece algunas estimaciones llamativas en las notas a pie de p\u00e1gina. Desde el 31 de diciembre de 2025, ha suscrito o modificado contratos de arrendamiento de \u201ccapacidad de c\u00e1lculo e infraestructura\u201d con \u201cobligaciones de pago m\u00ednimo futuras\u201d por un valor total aproximado de 417,000 millones de d\u00f3lares. Desde el 30 de junio, ha a\u00f1adido otros 245,000 millones de d\u00f3lares a sus obligaciones de pago futuras, todas ellas relacionadas con acuerdos de infraestructura. Tambi\u00e9n ha ampliado \u201cciertos acuerdos comerciales existentes\u201d (que, seg\u00fan matiza, \u201ca\u00fan no se han formalizado\u201d) por un importe adicional de entre 125,000 y 150,000 millones de d\u00f3lares.<\/p>\n<p>Si se incluyen los acuerdos \u201ca corto plazo\u201d con \u201cpagos m\u00ednimos no cancelables\u201d, seg\u00fan Anthropic, eso supone otros 21,000 millones de d\u00f3lares. En total, deber\u00e1, como m\u00ednimo, unos 808,000 millones de d\u00f3lares si cumple con todo esto.<\/p>\n<h2>\u00bfHabr\u00e1 iteraciones?<\/h2>\n<p>Ben Bajarin, director ejecutivo y analista principal de Creative Strategies, que sigue de cerca el sector de los chips, opina que probablemente se trate solo del primer borrador del folleto de Anthropic, y espera que se subsanen muchas lagunas en una versi\u00f3n actualizada.<\/p>\n<p>A pesar de lo habitual que es que se censuren datos en los formularios S-1, Dambra las califica de \u201cpol\u00e9micas\u201d. Aunque las empresas puedan argumentar que est\u00e1n \u201cprotegiendo informaci\u00f3n confidencial\u201d, Dambra se\u00f1ala que los esc\u00e9pticos las acusan de utilizar la censura de forma \u201coportunista\u201d para \u201cevitar revelar informaci\u00f3n sensible desde el punto de vista pol\u00edtico o social\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>Sin embargo, Dambra sostiene que censurar informaci\u00f3n puede tener un costo. Se\u00f1ala que las empresas con censura en sus formularios S-1 tambi\u00e9n eran m\u00e1s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sciencedirect.com\/science\/article\/abs\/pii\/S0304405X16000350\" target=\"_blank\">propensas<\/a> a \u201csubvalorar\u201d sus acciones en la oferta p\u00fablica inicial.<\/p>\n<p>Cuando las empresas ocultan informaci\u00f3n en su formulario S-1, seg\u00fan Dambra, suelen ser conscientes de que han creado un \u201cvac\u00edo de informaci\u00f3n\u201d entre ellas y los inversores externos. Al comprender que los inversores interpretar\u00e1n este vac\u00edo con \u201cdesconfianza\u201d, las compa\u00f1\u00edas pueden sentirse inclinadas a \u201catraerlas\u201d para que participen en la Oferta P\u00fablica Inicial (OPI) fijando un precio de salida m\u00e1s bajo.<\/p>\n<p>No est\u00e1 claro cu\u00e1l acabar\u00e1 siendo el precio de salida de Anthropic ni c\u00f3mo interpretar\u00e1n los inversionistas las omisiones en el formulario S-1 de la empresa. Pero, seg\u00fan Bajarin, todo el sector de la IA es, en mayor o menor medida, una \u201cinc\u00f3gnita\u201d a la hora de hacer n\u00fameros bas\u00e1ndose en el acceso actual a chips e infraestructura. As\u00ed que, s\u00ed, todo es un riesgo.<\/p>\n<p>Concluye que \u201cTodo esto solo demuestra lo absurdamente pronto que nos encontramos en la adopci\u00f3n empresarial de un mercado de la IA que superar\u00e1 los 3 billones de d\u00f3lares anuales y que probablemente seguir\u00e1 creciendo\u201d.<\/p>\n<p><em>Art\u00edculo originalmente publicado en<\/em> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wired.com\/story\/anthropic-prospectus-leaves-out-some-numbers\/\">WIRED.com<\/a><em>. Adaptado por Mauricio Serfatty Godoy.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Anthropic explica que los chips se abordan&#46;&#46;&#46;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":508079,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[46],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-508078","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tecnologia"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>\u00bfQu\u00e9 esconde Anthropic en el documento de su gran debut en bolsa? 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