{"id":510213,"date":"2026-10-28T20:31:15","date_gmt":"2026-10-28T20:31:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/diariodigitalrd.com\/?p=725619"},"modified":"2026-10-28T20:31:15","modified_gmt":"2026-10-28T20:31:15","slug":"banco-mundial-preve-alza-de-231-en-los-precios-de-materias-primas-en-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/sarmiento24h.com\/?p=510213","title":{"rendered":"Banco Mundial prev\u00e9 alza de 23,1 % en los precios de materias primas en 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

La energ\u00eda subir\u00eda un 32 % y el petr\u00f3leo Brent promediar\u00eda US$91 por barril, mientras aumentan los riesgos de inflaci\u00f3n e inseguridad alimentaria.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Los precios mundiales de las materias primas aumentar\u00e1n un 23,1 % en 2026<\/strong>, impulsados por la guerra en Oriente Pr\u00f3ximo, las interrupciones comerciales y los riesgos clim\u00e1ticos asociados al fen\u00f3meno de El Ni\u00f1o, seg\u00fan las nuevas previsiones del Banco Mundial<\/strong>, que anticipa una reducci\u00f3n de los precios de un 7 % en 2027 y un 8,8 % en 2028.<\/p>\n

En su informe Perspectivas de los mercados de materias primas<\/em>, la instituci\u00f3n advierte que el conflicto en Oriente Pr\u00f3ximo ha reducido las reservas de petr\u00f3leo y elevado los precios de la energ\u00eda a su nivel m\u00e1s alto en cuatro a\u00f1os. Al mismo tiempo, las interrupciones en los env\u00edos de cereales y las amenazas clim\u00e1ticas podr\u00edan afectar las cosechas y encarecer los alimentos.<\/p>\n

El organismo prev\u00e9 que el aumento de los costos energ\u00e9ticos y las dificultades en el comercio internacional presionen la inflaci\u00f3n y afecten especialmente a los pa\u00edses y hogares con menores recursos.<\/p>\n

Fondos de inversi\u00f3n en RD superan los US$8,200 millones en activos<\/a><\/p>\n

Energ\u00eda y petr\u00f3leo encabezan las alzas<\/h3>\n

El Banco Mundial proyecta que los precios de la energ\u00eda aumentar\u00e1n un 32 % en 2026<\/strong>, revirtiendo tres a\u00f1os de descensos consecutivos. Para 2027 anticipa una ca\u00edda del 11,5 %, seguida de otra reducci\u00f3n del 11,8 % en 2028.<\/p>\n

En el caso del petr\u00f3leo, el precio promedio del barril de Brent<\/strong> se situar\u00eda en US$91 en 2026<\/strong>, frente a los US$69 registrados en 2025. Para 2027, la previsi\u00f3n apunta a una moderaci\u00f3n hasta los US$79 por barril.<\/p>\n

Los alimentos b\u00e1sicos tambi\u00e9n registrar\u00edan incrementos. Sus precios subir\u00edan un 10,3 % en 2026 y un 7,2 % en 2027, antes de disminuir un 5,2 % en 2028.<\/p>\n

Los fertilizantes, por su parte, se encarecer\u00edan un 14,3 % durante 2026, debido, entre otros factores, al repunte de los precios de la urea a principios de a\u00f1o. El organismo espera que en 2027 regresen a los niveles de 2025, con una ca\u00edda anual del 12,4 %, y que disminuyan otro 8,2 % en 2028.<\/p>\n

OIT: mas del 83% de los trabajadores dom\u00e9sticos del mundo tiene empleo informal<\/a><\/p>\n

Metales alcanzar\u00e1n nuevos m\u00e1ximos<\/h3>\n

El informe prev\u00e9 que los precios de los metales aumenten un 24,5 % en 2026<\/strong>, con m\u00e1ximos hist\u00f3ricos para productos como el aluminio, el cobre y el esta\u00f1o. Para los dos a\u00f1os siguientes, el Banco Mundial proyecta descensos del 3,3 % en 2027 y del 3,8 % en 2028.<\/p>\n

Los metales preciosos experimentar\u00edan un incremento a\u00fan mayor, del 39,9 % en 2026, debido a la demanda de activos considerados refugio ante la incertidumbre econ\u00f3mica y geopol\u00edtica. Aunque sus precios bajar\u00edan un 8,3 % en 2027 y un 6 % en 2028, permanecer\u00edan por encima de sus promedios de 2015 a 2019.<\/p>\n

El economista jefe adjunto del Banco Mundial y director del Grupo de Perspectivas, Ayhan Kose<\/strong>, advirti\u00f3 que el encarecimiento de la energ\u00eda y las interrupciones comerciales amenazan con agravar la inflaci\u00f3n, la inseguridad alimentaria y las dificultades para el crecimiento econ\u00f3mico.<\/p>\n

AIRD pide convertir el crecimiento econ\u00f3mico en desarrollo industrial<\/a><\/p>\n

Riesgo de una nueva crisis alimentaria<\/h3>\n

El escenario base no contempla un deterioro sustancial de los conflictos que afectan al suministro mundial. Sin embargo, el Banco Mundial advierte que una intensificaci\u00f3n de la guerra en Oriente Pr\u00f3ximo y la persistencia de da\u00f1os en la infraestructura petrolera rusa podr\u00edan elevar todav\u00eda m\u00e1s los precios energ\u00e9ticos.<\/p>\n

Si esos riesgos coinciden con un episodio m\u00e1s intenso de El Ni\u00f1o, podr\u00eda producirse una crisis alimentaria. En ese escenario adverso, el Brent alcanzar\u00eda un promedio de US$105 por barril en 2027 y los precios de los alimentos b\u00e1sicos ser\u00edan un 12 % superiores a los previstos en el escenario base, superando sus niveles de 2022.<\/p>\n

Para mitigar estos efectos, el Banco Mundial ha puesto a disposici\u00f3n entre US$50,000 millones y US$60,000 millones<\/strong> mediante instrumentos existentes, incluidos US$25,000 millones en financiaci\u00f3n preestablecida. <\/p>\n

Los recursos est\u00e1n destinados a reforzar las redes de protecci\u00f3n social, ampliar la capacidad fiscal y proporcionar liquidez a empresas y explotaciones agr\u00edcolas, especialmente en pa\u00edses de bajos ingresos afectados por una elevada carga de deuda.<\/p>\n

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La energ\u00eda subir\u00eda un 32 % y...<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":510214,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[60],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-510213","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economicas"],"yoast_head":"\nBanco Mundial prev\u00e9 alza de 23,1 % en los precios de materias primas en 2026 - 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