{"id":522619,"date":"2026-11-04T22:30:08","date_gmt":"2026-11-04T22:30:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/diariodigitalrd.com\/?p=726636"},"modified":"2026-11-04T22:30:08","modified_gmt":"2026-11-04T22:30:08","slug":"mercados-afrontan-turbulencia-tras-giro-democrata-en-congreso","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/sarmiento24h.com\/?p=522619","title":{"rendered":"Mercados afrontan turbulencia tras giro dem\u00f3crata en Congreso"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

Nigel Green prev\u00e9 presi\u00f3n inicial en Wall Street y posterior repunte del S&P 500<\/strong><\/h2>\n

El triunfo dem\u00f3crata en las elecciones al Congreso de Estados Unidos abri\u00f3 una jornada de nerviosismo en los mercados, con fuertes ca\u00eddas iniciales en los futuros de los principales \u00edndices y presi\u00f3n sobre las acciones vinculadas a la inteligencia artificial. Para Nigel Green, CEO de deVere Group, la turbulencia ser\u00e1 temporal y dar\u00e1 paso a un repunte del S&P 500.<\/p>\n

Los dem\u00f3cratas lograron el control de ambas c\u00e1maras tras arrebatar seis esca\u00f1os del Senado que estaban en manos republicanas, incluidos los de Texas, Carolina del Sur e Iowa.<\/p>\n

Green sostiene que Wall Street no estaba preparado para un resultado de esa magnitud y anticipa varias sesiones complicadas, especialmente para las empresas relacionadas con inteligencia artificial.<\/p>\n

Los futuros del S&P 500 llegaron a caer hasta 1,4%, aunque posteriormente redujeron la p\u00e9rdida a 0,4%. Los futuros del Nasdaq 100 tambi\u00e9n recuperaron buena parte de una ca\u00edda inicial del 2,4%.<\/p>\n

\u201cGran parte del dinero que se esfum\u00f3 de la noche a la ma\u00f1ana ya est\u00e1 regresando\u201d, afirm\u00f3 Green, al describir la r\u00e1pida entrada de compradores tras la ca\u00edda inicial.<\/p>\n

Un Congreso dividido puede favorecer a las acciones<\/strong><\/p>\n

La tesis de deVere parte de un escenario de bloqueo entre el Congreso y la Casa Blanca. Seg\u00fan Green, la dificultad para aprobar grandes cambios podr\u00eda reducir la incertidumbre empresarial y favorecer las inversiones que hab\u00edan sido aplazadas.<\/p>\n

El ejecutivo recuerda que el S&P 500 avanz\u00f3 durante los 12 meses posteriores a las 19 elecciones de mitad de mandato celebradas desde 1950, con una ganancia media cercana al 15%.<\/p>\n

Los bonos del Tesoro tambi\u00e9n reaccionaron a los resultados. El rendimiento del bono a 10 a\u00f1os cay\u00f3 seis puntos b\u00e1sicos, hasta aproximadamente 4,9%.<\/p>\n

Green considera que una pol\u00edtica fiscal m\u00e1s contenida podr\u00eda reducir las preocupaciones sobre el d\u00e9ficit y mantener la presi\u00f3n a la baja sobre los rendimientos durante 2027.<\/p>\n

D\u00f3lar d\u00e9bil y presi\u00f3n sobre la inteligencia artificial<\/strong><\/p>\n

El d\u00f3lar perdi\u00f3 terreno frente a las principales monedas y el oro avanz\u00f3. Green espera que la debilidad de la divisa contin\u00fae y sostiene que este escenario podr\u00eda beneficiar al oro, Bitcoin y los mercados emergentes.<\/p>\n

En Asia, el Nikkei 225 cay\u00f3 m\u00e1s de 4%, en medio de la preocupaci\u00f3n por las acciones vinculadas con la inteligencia artificial. El impacto tambi\u00e9n alcanz\u00f3 a empresas de chips y hardware.<\/p>\n

La infraestructura de IA aparece como uno de los sectores bajo mayor presi\u00f3n. Green sostiene que el nuevo Congreso podr\u00eda exigir a la industria asumir una mayor parte del costo asociado con la expansi\u00f3n de la red el\u00e9ctrica necesaria para los centros de datos.<\/p>\n

El sector sanitario, en cambio, podr\u00eda beneficiarse de una eventual restauraci\u00f3n de las subvenciones ampliadas de la Ley de Atenci\u00f3n M\u00e9dica Asequible y de cambios en Medicaid.<\/p>\n

Green tambi\u00e9n identifica oportunidades en bienes de consumo b\u00e1sico, constructoras de viviendas y empresas de servicios p\u00fablicos vinculadas con la expansi\u00f3n de las redes el\u00e9ctricas.<\/p>\n

El sector energ\u00e9tico enfrenta un panorama distinto. Aunque acumula una subida superior al 53% en el S&P 500 durante 2026, el ejecutivo considera que el elevado precio de los combustibles lo convirti\u00f3 en un asunto electoral y anticipa un mayor escrutinio sobre la industria.<\/p>\n

Para Green, la combinaci\u00f3n de menores rendimientos de los bonos, un d\u00f3lar m\u00e1s d\u00e9bil y un gobierno con capacidad limitada para introducir grandes cambios sustenta su previsi\u00f3n de un avance considerable del S&P 500 durante el pr\u00f3ximo a\u00f1o.<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Nigel Green prev\u00e9 presi\u00f3n inicial en Wall...<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":522620,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[60],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-522619","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economicas"],"yoast_head":"\nMercados afrontan turbulencia tras giro dem\u00f3crata en Congreso - 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