{"id":532963,"date":"2026-11-10T21:17:54","date_gmt":"2026-11-10T21:17:54","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/bd04610a-dd07-11f1-b283-1716448d7b84"},"modified":"2026-11-10T21:17:54","modified_gmt":"2026-11-10T21:17:54","slug":"las-emisiones-de-combustibles-fosiles-caeran-por-primera-vez-desde-la-pandemia-de-covid-segun-un-estudio","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/sarmiento24h.com\/?p=532963","title":{"rendered":"Las emisiones de combustibles f\u00f3siles caer\u00e1n por primera vez desde la pandemia de covid, seg\u00fan un estudio"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Las emisiones derivadas de la quema de petr\u00f3leo, gas y carb\u00f3n, principales responsables del cambio clim\u00e1tico, aumentaron una media del 0,9% anual durante la \u00faltima d\u00e9cada y alcanzaron un r\u00e9cord en 2025, seg\u00fan el informe.<\/p>\n<p>Sin embargo, las previsiones apuntan a una reducci\u00f3n del 0,4% en 2026. El estudio se public\u00f3 mientras los pa\u00edses participan en la cumbre clim\u00e1tica COP31 de Naciones Unidas, que se celebra en Antalya, Turqu\u00eda.<\/p>\n<p>Ser\u00eda la primera ca\u00edda anual desde 2020, cuando la pandemia de covid paraliz\u00f3 buena parte de la econom\u00eda mundial, el comercio y el transporte.<\/p>\n<div class=\"m-em-video\">\n<div class=\"o-video-player o-video-player--16x9\" data-media-video-wbmz433689-f24-es-20261110 data-show-hidden-video-player=\"WBMZ433689-F24-ES-20261110\" data-wrapper-video-player data-youtube-script>\n<div class=\"o-em-consent \" readability=\"7\">\n<div class=\"o-em-consent__content\" readability=\"34\">\n<p class=\"o-em-consent__content__text\">Para mostrar este contenido de YouTube, debe autorizar las cookies de medici\u00f3n de audiencia y publicidad.<\/p>\n<p> <button class=\"a-master-button a-master-button--dark\" data-action=\"accept\"> Aceptar <svg class=\"a-svg a-svg--icon-check\"> <use xlink:href=\"\/build\/images\/svg\/sprite.68b43361c11f23b39049016b32e6ae31.svg#icon-check\" href=\"\/build\/images\/svg\/sprite.68b43361c11f23b39049016b32e6ae31.svg#icon-check\" \/> <\/svg> <\/button> <button class=\"a-link\" data-action=\"manage\">Gestionar mis opciones <svg class=\"a-svg a-svg--icon-edit\"> <use xlink:href=\"\/build\/images\/svg\/sprite.68b43361c11f23b39049016b32e6ae31.svg#icon-edit\" href=\"\/build\/images\/svg\/sprite.68b43361c11f23b39049016b32e6ae31.svg#icon-edit\" \/> <\/svg><br \/>\n<\/button> <\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"o-em-adblock\" data-adblock-content readability=\"7\">\n<div class=\"o-em-adblock__content\" readability=\"34\">\n<p class=\"o-em-adblock__content__text\">Una extensi\u00f3n de tu navegador parece estar bloqueando la carga del reproductor de video. Para poder ver este contenido, debes desactivarla en este sitio.<\/p>\n<p> <button class=\"a-master-button a-master-button--dark\" data-action=\"reload\">Reintentar<\/button> <\/div>\n<\/div>\n<figure class=\"m-item-image m-item-image--16x9 m-item-image--has-caption\"> <picture class=\"a-picture a-picture--16x9\"><source type=\"image\/webp\" srcset=\"https:\/\/s.france24.com\/media\/display\/080f4f8c-dc7e-11f1-8595-1beafce15fea\/w:388\/p:16x9\/ES-20261109-113902-114053-CS.webp 388w, https:\/\/s.france24.com\/media\/display\/080f4f8c-dc7e-11f1-8595-1beafce15fea\/w:720\/p:16x9\/ES-20261109-113902-114053-CS.webp 720w, https:\/\/s.france24.com\/media\/display\/080f4f8c-dc7e-11f1-8595-1beafce15fea\/w:1024\/p:16x9\/ES-20261109-113902-114053-CS.webp 1024w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 639px) calc(100vw - 32px), (max-width: 1076px) calc(100vw - 44px), 850px\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"auto\" src=\"https:\/\/s.france24.com\/media\/display\/080f4f8c-dc7e-11f1-8595-1beafce15fea\/w:1024\/p:16x9\/ES-20261109-113902-114053-CS.jpg\" srcset=\"https:\/\/s.france24.com\/media\/display\/080f4f8c-dc7e-11f1-8595-1beafce15fea\/w:388\/p:16x9\/ES-20261109-113902-114053-CS.jpg 388w, https:\/\/s.france24.com\/media\/display\/080f4f8c-dc7e-11f1-8595-1beafce15fea\/w:720\/p:16x9\/ES-20261109-113902-114053-CS.jpg 720w, https:\/\/s.france24.com\/media\/display\/080f4f8c-dc7e-11f1-8595-1beafce15fea\/w:1024\/p:16x9\/ES-20261109-113902-114053-CS.jpg 1024w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 639px) calc(100vw - 32px), (max-width: 1076px) calc(100vw - 44px), 850px\" width=\"1024\" height=\"576\" alt loading=\"eager\" class=\"a-img \">\n<\/picture><figcaption class=\"a-figcaption\"> Imagen de portada: \u00a9 France 24 <\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>La guerra contra Ir\u00e1n liderada por Estados Unidos y el cierre del estrecho de Ormuz tambi\u00e9n contribuyeron a reducir las emisiones este a\u00f1o. Seg\u00fan los investigadores, el aumento de los precios del crudo provoc\u00f3 una ca\u00edda del consumo de petr\u00f3leo.<\/p>\n<p>A este factor se suma la expansi\u00f3n de los paneles solares, los parques e\u00f3licos y los veh\u00edculos el\u00e9ctricos. El informe se\u00f1ala que estas tecnolog\u00edas cubren dos tercios del crecimiento de la demanda energ\u00e9tica mundial.<\/p>\n<p>\u00abUna ca\u00edda de las emisiones de CO2 procedentes de combustibles f\u00f3siles es alentadora, pero una reducci\u00f3n impulsada en parte por crisis geopol\u00edticas no constituye una soluci\u00f3n clim\u00e1tica sostenible\u00bb, afirm\u00f3 Pierre Friedlingstein, director de la Oficina del Global Carbon Budget de la Universidad de Exeter, en Reino Unido, y responsable del estudio publicado en la revista <em>Earth System Science Data<\/em>.<\/p>\n<p>\u00abLa respuesta a largo plazo sigue siendo el despliegue r\u00e1pido de tecnolog\u00edas de energ\u00eda limpia\u00bb, agreg\u00f3.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>La posibilidad de un repunte<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Corinne Le Qu\u00e9r\u00e9, profesora de ciencias del cambio clim\u00e1tico en la Universidad de East Anglia, advirti\u00f3 que las emisiones volvieron a aumentar cuando las econom\u00edas se recuperaron de crisis como la pandemia de covid o la financiera mundial.<\/p>\n<p>Un repunte tambi\u00e9n podr\u00eda producirse \u00abcuando desaparezcan las tensiones relacionadas con el petr\u00f3leo\u00bb, se\u00f1al\u00f3 durante una presentaci\u00f3n ante los medios.<\/p>\n<p>Los investigadores estiman que las emisiones vinculadas al petr\u00f3leo caer\u00e1n un 1,9% este a\u00f1o, aunque consideran que probablemente se trate de una respuesta temporal al impacto energ\u00e9tico de la guerra en Ir\u00e1n. En cambio, las emisiones procedentes del gas disminuir\u00e1n un 0,3%, mientras que las derivadas del uso del carb\u00f3n aumentar\u00e1n un 0,6%.<\/p>\n<p>En conjunto, las emisiones de di\u00f3xido de carbono procedentes de combustibles f\u00f3siles alcanzar\u00edan los 38.200 millones de toneladas en 2026.<\/p>\n<p>Si se incluyen las emisiones vinculadas al cambio de uso del suelo, como la deforestaci\u00f3n, el total global de CO2 podr\u00eda aumentar hasta los 43.300 millones de toneladas, frente a los 42.800 millones registrados el a\u00f1o pasado.<\/p>\n<p>El informe atribuye parte de ese incremento a los incendios en turberas y la degradaci\u00f3n forestal en el sudeste asi\u00e1tico, fen\u00f3menos relacionados con condiciones m\u00e1s secas asociadas al patr\u00f3n clim\u00e1tico de El Ni\u00f1o, excepcionalmente intenso este a\u00f1o.<\/p>\n<div class=\"m-em-image\">\n<figure class=\"m-item-image m-item-image--original m-item-image--has-caption\"> <picture class=\"a-picture a-picture--original\"><source type=\"image\/webp\" srcset=\"https:\/\/s.france24.com\/media\/display\/0aa28e46-d36c-11f1-8da7-47de50b3c1e4\/w:246\/4a38548d876fcd70080d56bd65012009aeba7b0d.webp 246w, https:\/\/s.france24.com\/media\/display\/0aa28e46-d36c-11f1-8da7-47de50b3c1e4\/w:388\/4a38548d876fcd70080d56bd65012009aeba7b0d.webp 388w, https:\/\/s.france24.com\/media\/display\/0aa28e46-d36c-11f1-8da7-47de50b3c1e4\/w:720\/4a38548d876fcd70080d56bd65012009aeba7b0d.webp 720w, https:\/\/s.france24.com\/media\/display\/0aa28e46-d36c-11f1-8da7-47de50b3c1e4\/w:980\/4a38548d876fcd70080d56bd65012009aeba7b0d.webp 980w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1023px) calc(100vw - 32px), (min-width: 1024px) 850px\"><img fetchpriority=\"low\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/s.france24.com\/media\/display\/0aa28e46-d36c-11f1-8da7-47de50b3c1e4\/w:980\/4a38548d876fcd70080d56bd65012009aeba7b0d.jpg\" srcset=\"https:\/\/s.france24.com\/media\/display\/0aa28e46-d36c-11f1-8da7-47de50b3c1e4\/w:246\/4a38548d876fcd70080d56bd65012009aeba7b0d.jpg 246w, https:\/\/s.france24.com\/media\/display\/0aa28e46-d36c-11f1-8da7-47de50b3c1e4\/w:388\/4a38548d876fcd70080d56bd65012009aeba7b0d.jpg 388w, https:\/\/s.france24.com\/media\/display\/0aa28e46-d36c-11f1-8da7-47de50b3c1e4\/w:720\/4a38548d876fcd70080d56bd65012009aeba7b0d.jpg 720w, https:\/\/s.france24.com\/media\/display\/0aa28e46-d36c-11f1-8da7-47de50b3c1e4\/w:980\/4a38548d876fcd70080d56bd65012009aeba7b0d.jpg 980w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1023px) calc(100vw - 32px), (min-width: 1024px) 850px\" alt=\"Hambardzum Matevosyan, ministro de Medio Ambiente de Armenia y presidente de la COP17, durante una sesi\u00f3n de la COP17 sobre la diversidad biol\u00f3gica (CDB), el 27 de octubre de 2026 en Erev\u00e1n, Armenia.\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"a-img \">\n<\/picture><figcaption class=\"a-figcaption\"> Hambardzum Matevosyan, ministro de Medio Ambiente de Armenia y presidente de la COP17, durante una sesi\u00f3n de la COP17 sobre la diversidad biol\u00f3gica (CDB), el 27 de octubre de 2026 en Erev\u00e1n, Armenia. \u00a9 STRINGER \/ AFP <\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<h2><strong>Menos de cuatro a\u00f1os para agotar el presupuesto de carbono<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>El estudio calcula que el presupuesto de carbono mundial \u2014la cantidad de CO2 que todav\u00eda puede emitirse antes de que el calentamiento global supere los 1,5 \u00b0C respecto de los niveles preindustriales\u2014 se sit\u00faa actualmente en 150.000 millones de toneladas.<\/p>\n<p>Al ritmo actual de emisiones, ese margen podr\u00eda agotarse en menos de cuatro a\u00f1os, advirtieron los investigadores.<\/p>\n<p>En 2015, durante la cumbre clim\u00e1tica de Naciones Unidas celebrada en Par\u00eds, los pa\u00edses acordaron mantener el calentamiento global \u00abmuy por debajo\u00bb de los 2 \u00b0C respecto de los niveles preindustriales y continuar los esfuerzos para limitarlo a 1,5 \u00b0C.<\/p>\n<p>Sin embargo, Naciones Unidas advirti\u00f3 en septiembre que el objetivo de limitar el calentamiento a largo plazo a 1,5 \u00b0C se incumplir\u00e1 en cuesti\u00f3n de a\u00f1os.<\/p>\n<p>Los cient\u00edficos consideran prioritario reducir las emisiones de gases de efecto invernadero procedentes de los combustibles f\u00f3siles para limitar el tiempo durante el cual las temperaturas superen ese umbral y conseguir que vuelvan a descender lo antes posible.<\/p>\n<p><em>France 24 con AFP.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Las emisiones derivadas de la quema de&#46;&#46;&#46;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":532964,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[43],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-532963","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-internacionales"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.6 - 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