{"id":535870,"date":"2026-11-12T14:44:37","date_gmt":"2026-11-12T14:44:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/sarmiento24h.com\/?p=535870"},"modified":"2026-11-12T14:44:37","modified_gmt":"2026-11-12T14:44:37","slug":"evolucion-de-la-inversion-publica-en-tiempos-de-abinader-cifras-megaproyectos-y-resiliencia-economica","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/sarmiento24h.com\/?p=535870","title":{"rendered":"Evoluci\u00f3n de la inversi\u00f3n p\u00fablica en tiempos de Abinader: Cifras, megaproyectos, y resiliencia econ\u00f3mica"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"576\" src=\"https:\/\/sarmiento24h.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/Fotoweb_24-1024x576.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-535869\" srcset=\"https:\/\/sarmiento24h.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/Fotoweb_24-1024x576.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/sarmiento24h.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/Fotoweb_24-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/sarmiento24h.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/Fotoweb_24-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/sarmiento24h.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/Fotoweb_24.jpg 1300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong><em>Por:\u00a0 <\/em><\/strong><strong>Ing. \u00c1ngel Tejeda<\/strong><br><br>El debate sobre si el Estado dominicano ha frenado o dinamizado la construcci\u00f3n de obras p\u00fablicas en los \u00faltimos a\u00f1os suele entramparse en comparaciones incompletas. Para comprender la verdadera evoluci\u00f3n del gasto de capital, es imperativo mirar m\u00e1s all\u00e1 del presupuesto tradicional y analizar la pel\u00edcula completa: el tama\u00f1o de la econom\u00eda, el uso estrat\u00e9gico de fideicomisos y la materializaci\u00f3n de megaproyectos que transforman el rostro del pa\u00eds.<br><br>El efecto de la diluci\u00f3n y la escala de la econom\u00eda<br>El primer elemento que distorsiona la percepci\u00f3n anal\u00edtica es el r\u00e1pido crecimiento del Producto Interno Bruto (PIB). En 2015, la econom\u00eda dominicana ten\u00eda un tama\u00f1o de RD$3.25 billones, mientras que para 2024 alcanz\u00f3 los RD$7.43 billones, m\u00e1s del doble en menos de una d\u00e9cada. <br><br>Cuando una econom\u00eda se expande a este ritmo, mantener el porcentaje de inversi\u00f3n requiere duplicar los montos establecidos. El gasto de capital del Gobierno Central pas\u00f3 de RD$89,300 millones en 2015 a RD$196,800 millones en 2024. Sin embargo, pese a este incremento nominal del 120%, su peso relativo dentro de la econom\u00eda ha oscilado entre el 2.65% y el 2.75% del PIB, reflejando una rigidez hist\u00f3rica del presupuesto tradicional.<br><br>Al aplicar el Deflactor de la Formaci\u00f3n Bruta de Capital Fijo, la realidad econ\u00f3mica se\u00f1ala que, aunque el gasto nominal de 2024 es el m\u00e1s alto de la historia, la capacidad real de compra del presupuesto central es un 24.1% inferior al pico registrado en 2012, un periodo donde los materiales de construcci\u00f3n presentaban costos sustancialmente menores.<br><br>La innovaci\u00f3n financiera: Fideicomisos y concesiones<br>Ante estas limitaciones presupuestarias, el Estado transform\u00f3 su modelo de financiaci\u00f3n. La inversi\u00f3n p\u00fablica se diversific\u00f3 mediante veh\u00edculos extrapresupuestarios, principalmente los fideicomisos p\u00fablicos. <br><br>Mientras que en 2015 los fideicomisos apenas aportaban RD$6,000 millones (0.18% del PIB), para 2024 esta ejecuci\u00f3n escal\u00f3 a RD$58,600 millones, inyectando 0.79 puntos porcentuales del PIB adicionales a la infraestructura nacional. A este esquema se sum\u00f3 la renegociaci\u00f3n de contratos estrat\u00e9gicos como Aerodom, aportando capital fresco sin necesidad de nuevo endeudamiento soberano.<br><br>Resultados y transformaci\u00f3n territorial<br>Al sumar el presupuesto central y el aporte de los fideicomisos, la Inversi\u00f3n P\u00fablica Total Ampliada alcanz\u00f3 el 3.44% del PIB en 2024, superando el 2.93% de 2015 y el 2.22% de 2020. <br><br>Este modelo ha permitido ejecutar obras bajo estrictos marcos de transparencia (SIGEF, SNIP y DIGEPRES) en m\u00faltiples sectores:<br>* Transporte y Movilidad: El Telef\u00e9rico de Los Alcarrizos, el Sistema Integrado de Transporte de Santiago (Telef\u00e9rico y Monorriel) y la expansi\u00f3n de las l\u00edneas del Metro de Santo Domingo.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">* Desarrollo y Vialidad: El impulso al polo tur\u00edstico de Pedernales (Cabo Rojo), el Puerto de Manzanillo, la rehabilitaci\u00f3n de la Autopista Duarte, el T\u00fanel de la Plaza de la Bandera y una red de circunvalaciones estrat\u00e9gicas (Ban\u00ed, Navarrete, San Francisco de Macor\u00eds).<br><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">* Seguridad H\u00eddrica y Social: La Presa de Monte Grande, el saneamiento de la Ca\u00f1ada de Arroyo Gurabo en Santiago, el plan habitacional \u00abMi Vivienda\u00bb y la estrategia fronteriza \u00abFrontera Fuerte\u00bb.<br><br>Conclusi\u00f3n<br><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">El m\u00e9rito de la gesti\u00f3n actual radica en su resiliencia. Mientras que administraciones pasadas operaron en un entorno internacional benigno, la consolidaci\u00f3n de la infraestructura nacional reciente se ha logrado navegando crisis log\u00edsticas, presiones inflacionarias post-pandemia y volatilidad geopol\u00edtica. No hubo par\u00e1lisis, sino una profunda reingenier\u00eda institucional que permiti\u00f3 diversificar las fuentes de capital y sostener el desarrollo que exige la Rep\u00fablica Dominicana.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Por:\u00a0 Ing. \u00c1ngel Tejeda El debate sobre&#46;&#46;&#46;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":535869,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[42],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-535870","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nacionales"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.6 - 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