![\"imagen\"](\"https:\/\/sarmiento24h.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/dilema-de-deuda-dominicana.jpg\" "\\"Dilema")
<\/a><\/p>\nEl autor es economista . Reside en Santo Domingo<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n
Por Marcelino Lara<\/b><\/b><\/p>\n
Tomar prestado para pagar intereses de la deuda se ha convertido en una muy arriesgada apuesta financiera que nuestro pa\u00eds deber\u00eda evaluar con mucha responsabilidad, cuestionando el actual modelo econ\u00f3mico.<\/p>\n
El presupuesto nacional no debe ser una simple Ley anual de gastos p\u00fablicos financiada con deuda, y que pueda ser violada cada a\u00f1o sin ninguna consecuencia, por aquellos que est\u00e1n llamados a respetarla, a trav\u00e9s de una estricta ejecuci\u00f3n presupuestaria.<\/p>\n
El presupuesto debe dejar de ser un ritual anual de estabilidad macroecon\u00f3mica y arreglos pol\u00edticos, para ser una herramienta de justicia fiscal, desarrollo y democracia. (Rosa Ca\u00f1ete Alonso)<\/p>\n
Los gastos corrientes se han disparado cada a\u00f1o provocando un d\u00e9ficit estructural que es financiado contratando nuevas deudas. Una espiral peligrosa y desafiante para nuestras finanzas p\u00fablicas.<\/p>\n
Esta trayectoria evidencia un patr\u00f3n preocupante: el d\u00e9ficit no es el resultado de un evento aislado, sino de una brecha estructural entre ingresos insuficientes y gastos r\u00edgidos, donde el Estado gasta cada a\u00f1o m\u00e1s de lo que recauda y financia la diferencia con deuda. (Rosa Ca\u00f1ete Alonso)<\/p>\n
Es por esa raz\u00f3n que la deuda p\u00fablica se ha convertido en una palanca esencial para impulsar el escaso crecimiento actual del PIB de la econom\u00eda dominicana, y para el per\u00edodo comprendido entre los a\u00f1os 2021-2025, la deuda consolidada de nuestro pa\u00eds represent\u00f3 casi el 60% del PIB.<\/p>\n
Un modelo de crecimiento basado en deuda no es sostenible en el tiempo.<\/b><\/p>\n
Obviamente, el exagerado aumento de la deuda hace aumentar el pago de intereses de la misma, y en ese sentido, los intereses de la deuda dominicana con relaci\u00f3n al total de ingresos fiscales ya asciende a casi el 25%, o sea que estamos dedicando casi una cuarta parte de los ingresos recaudados, a pagar intereses de deuda.<\/p>\n
En pago de intereses con relaci\u00f3n a total de ingresos fiscales ya estamos por encima de Mexico y de Brasil que son las dos econom\u00edas m\u00e1s grandes de Hispanoam\u00e9rica, y diez puntos por encima del promedio de todos los pa\u00edses hispanoamericanos. Una realidad muy preocupante.<\/p>\n
En la actualidad, los intereses de la deuda superan el monto de RD$360.0 Mil millones de pesos, un valor ligeramente superior al 4% reservado para educaci\u00f3n p\u00fablica primaria y secundaria, seg\u00fan lo expresado recientemente por el distinguido economista Luis Reyes, pasado Director de Presupuesto.<\/p>\n
Cada d\u00eda que pasa se estrecha m\u00e1s la posibilidad de ampliar el gasto de capital porque la mayor\u00eda de los recursos presupuestarios son orientados a cubrir gastos corrientes. Ya la n\u00f3mina p\u00fablica se acerca peligrosamente a los 800 Mil empleados.<\/p>\n
Es preocupante que una gran parte de lo tomado prestado es para pagar esa abultada n\u00f3mina p\u00fablica. Todo eso ocurre mientras descuidamos la inversi\u00f3n en la infraestructura que deber\u00eda soportar el crecimiento de la econom\u00eda dominicana en pr\u00f3ximos 15 a\u00f1os.<\/p>\n
Pasar de un modelo econ\u00f3mico rentista basado en deudas a un modelo econ\u00f3mico sustentado en ingresos fiscales nos va a costar mucho esfuerzo, dedicaci\u00f3n, compromiso, resiliencia, transparencia, y mucha, pero mucha voluntad pol\u00edtica y empresarial.<\/p>\n
Al parecer ese momento ha llegado porque ninguna econom\u00eda ha podido crecer indefinidamente tomando prestado, sin tomar medidas serias y profundas para aumentar la producci\u00f3n y el empleo.<\/p>\n
jpm-am<\/i><\/p>\n\n
Comp\u00e1rtelo en tus redes:<\/p>\n<\/div>\n
ALMOMENTO.NET publica los art\u00edculos de opini\u00f3n sin hacerles correcciones de redacci\u00f3n. Se reserva el derecho de rechazar los que est\u00e9n mal redactados, con errores de sintaxis o faltas ortogr\u00e1ficas.<\/p>\n
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