EL AUTOR es Master en Gesti\u00f3n y Pol\u00edticas P\u00fablicas. Reside en Santo Domingo<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n
La Rep\u00fablica Bolivariana de Venezuela, otrora una de las democracias m\u00e1s estables de Am\u00e9rica Latina, ha transitado en las \u00faltimas dos d\u00e9cadas hacia un modelo pol\u00edtico autoritario inspirado en el socialismo del siglo XXI.<\/p>\n
Lo que inicialmente se present\u00f3 como un proyecto de justicia social y soberan\u00eda econ\u00f3mica termin\u00f3 alineando al pa\u00eds con reg\u00edmenes de car\u00e1cter autoritario como Cuba, Ir\u00e1n y Nicaragua. Esta transformaci\u00f3n ha sido liderada por Nicol\u00e1s Maduro, heredero pol\u00edtico de Hugo Ch\u00e1vez, quien ha consolidado un sistema de poder basado en el control institucional, la represi\u00f3n pol\u00edtica y el aislamiento internacional.<\/p>\n
El ascenso pol\u00edtico de Maduro comenz\u00f3 en el movimiento sindical, desde donde pas\u00f3 a ocupar cargos clave en el aparato estatal: diputado, presidente de la Asamblea Nacional, canciller, vicepresidente ejecutivo en 2012 y finalmente presidente de la Rep\u00fablica tras la muerte de Ch\u00e1vez en 2013.<\/p>\n
Desde entonces, ha sido reelecto en procesos electorales ampliamente cuestionados por organismos internacionales, el m\u00e1s reciente en 2024, asumiendo un nuevo mandato el 10 de enero de 2025 (OEA, 2024; Human Rights Watch, 2023).<\/p>\n
Contrario a lo que muchos analistas preve\u00edan, Maduro logr\u00f3 consolidar un modelo de poder autoritario mediante alianzas estrat\u00e9gicas con Rusia, China, Ir\u00e1n y Cuba. Estas relaciones no solo han garantizado apoyo econ\u00f3mico y militar, sino que han permitido la supervivencia del r\u00e9gimen frente a las sanciones internacionales. Paralelamente, el gobierno desarroll\u00f3 una estructura de control pol\u00edtico en los barrios populares mediante organizaciones comunitarias, programas sociales y propaganda ideol\u00f3gica, asegurando la lealtad de los sectores m\u00e1s vulnerables (Corrales & Penfold, 2015).<\/p>\n
La oposici\u00f3n venezolana tuvo una oportunidad hist\u00f3rica en 2015, cuando obtuvo la mayor\u00eda parlamentaria en la Asamblea Nacional. Sin embargo, su intento de revocar el mandato presidencial en 2016 provoc\u00f3 una respuesta institucional contundente: el Tribunal Supremo de Justicia anul\u00f3 las competencias del parlamento y el Consejo Nacional Electoral bloque\u00f3 los mecanismos de participaci\u00f3n. En 2017, el Ejecutivo consolid\u00f3 el control total del poder p\u00fablico mediante una Asamblea Constituyente paralela, neutralizando cualquier contrapeso democr\u00e1tico (International Crisis Group, 2018).<\/p>\n
A este proceso se sum\u00f3 el \u00e9xodo masivo de venezolanos. M\u00e1s de siete millones de ciudadanos han abandonado el pa\u00eds, dejando un vac\u00edo pol\u00edtico que fue ocupado por el oficialismo en todos los niveles del Estado: municipios, gobernaciones, sistema judicial y fuerzas armadas (ACNUR, 2024). La desarticulaci\u00f3n de la oposici\u00f3n, debilitada por la falta de representaci\u00f3n institucional, redujo sus posibilidades reales de disputar el poder.<\/p>\n
Las recientes estrategias electorales de figuras como Edmundo Gonz\u00e1lez Urrutia y Mar\u00eda Corina Machado apostaron m\u00e1s al respaldo internacional que a la organizaci\u00f3n territorial interna. Sin control de los \u00f3rganos electorales ni presencia efectiva en las instituciones, sus posibilidades de \u00e9xito fueron limitadas. En el marco jur\u00eddico venezolano, aunque la legitimidad del proceso pueda ser cuestionada, el gobierno de Maduro se mantiene dentro de la legalidad formal (CNE, 2024).<\/p>\n
Desde el punto de vista discursivo, Maduro conserva una ret\u00f3rica ideol\u00f3gica heredada del chavismo cl\u00e1sico, evocando el nacionalismo, el antiimperialismo y la lucha de clases, en la l\u00ednea de l\u00edderes como Fidel Castro y Hugo Ch\u00e1vez. Este discurso ha servido como instrumento de cohesi\u00f3n pol\u00edtica en un contexto de polarizaci\u00f3n ideol\u00f3gica entre socialismo y capitalismo, donde el margen de negociaci\u00f3n es m\u00ednimo.<\/p>\n
No obstante, el prolongado deterioro econ\u00f3mico, el colapso institucional y las denuncias sobre v\u00ednculos con Ir\u00e1n y grupos armados como Hezbol\u00e1 han encendido las alarmas internacionales. Estados Unidos, especialmente durante la administraci\u00f3n de Donald Trump, endureci\u00f3 su postura al considerar que el r\u00e9gimen venezolano representaba una amenaza geopol\u00edtica para la regi\u00f3n (Departamento de Estado, 2020).<\/p>\n
Las acusaciones contra Maduro incluyen fraude electoral, usurpaci\u00f3n de funciones, violaciones a los derechos humanos, narcotr\u00e1fico y cooperaci\u00f3n con reg\u00edmenes autoritarios. Estados Unidos decidio ponerle fin a ese regimen y capturarlo para someterlo a la justicia y que pague por el precio de sus actuaciones criminales.<\/p>\n
Frente a este escenario, la salida a la crisis venezolana debe pasar por la liberaci\u00f3n de presos pol\u00edticos, el retorno de los exiliados, el cese de la persecuci\u00f3n ideol\u00f3gica y la celebraci\u00f3n de elecciones libres y transparentes bajo supervisi\u00f3n internacional.<\/p>\n
La transici\u00f3n democr\u00e1tica de Venezuela requiere garant\u00edas institucionales, reconciliaci\u00f3n nacional y el compromiso de la comunidad internacional. Solo as\u00ed podr\u00e1 reconstruirse una naci\u00f3n fragmentada por la polarizaci\u00f3n, el autoritarismo y la di\u00e1spora.<\/p>\n
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ALMOMENTO.NET publica los art\u00edculos de opini\u00f3n sin hacerles correcciones de redacci\u00f3n. Se reserva el derecho de rechazar los que est\u00e9n mal redactados, con errores de sintaxis o faltas ortogr\u00e1ficas.<\/p>\n
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