EL AUTOR es Master en Gesti\u00f3n y Pol\u00edticas P\u00fablicas. Reside en Santo Domingo<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n
En las \u00faltimas dos semanas, el Gobierno dominicano ha dispuesto aumentos consecutivos en los precios de los combustibles: RD$5.00 por gal\u00f3n en la primera semana y RD$10.00 en la segunda, acumulando un incremento de RD$15.00 por gal\u00f3n en gasolina y gasoil. Estas alzas se justifican en la volatilidad e inestabilidad de los precios internacionales del petr\u00f3leo. En contraste, el gas licuado de petr\u00f3leo (GLP) ha mantenido sus precios congelados. Sin embargo, estas medidas generan una presi\u00f3n inflacionaria adicional en un contexto de crecimiento econ\u00f3mico d\u00e9bil.<\/p>\n
Mientras en la Rep\u00fablica Dominicana se responde al alza internacional trasladando el costo al consumidor, en pa\u00edses como Espa\u00f1a se han implementado medidas de alivio, como la reducci\u00f3n de tarifas el\u00e9ctricas y la congelaci\u00f3n de los precios de los combustibles, como paliativo ante la crisis energ\u00e9tica derivada del conflicto geopol\u00edtico entre Estados Unidos, Israel e Ir\u00e1n, que ha afectado aproximadamente el 20% del transporte mundial de petr\u00f3leo a trav\u00e9s del estrecho de Ormuz, cuya operatividad se ha visto comprometida.<\/p>\n
El incremento en los precios de la gasolina y el gasoil tiene efectos inmediatos en toda la estructura de costos de la econom\u00eda. Se traduce en aumentos en el transporte de pasajeros, en los costos log\u00edsticos de bienes importados y nacionales, y en el precio final de los productos. Esto, a su vez, impacta directamente en la inflaci\u00f3n y erosiona el poder adquisitivo de los hogares. Adem\u00e1s, reduce los m\u00e1rgenes de ganancia de productores y comerciantes, afectando la din\u00e1mica del mercado interno.<\/p>\n
Un elemento cr\u00edtico en este escenario es la limitada capacidad de reservas de combustibles del pa\u00eds. La Rep\u00fablica Dominicana dispone de inventarios que cubren aproximadamente entre 30 y 45 d\u00edas de consumo nacional, seg\u00fan informaciones del sector p\u00fablico y privado a marzo de 2026. Este nivel de almacenamiento resulta insuficiente para enfrentar choques prolongados en el suministro internacional.<\/p>\n
De acuerdo con datos del Ministerio de Industria y Comercio, la capacidad de almacenamiento de la Refiner\u00eda Dominicana de Petr\u00f3leo (Refidomsa) alcanza unos 111.7 millones de galones, mientras que el consumo promedio mensual se sit\u00faa en torno a los 88 millones de galones de los principales hidrocarburos. Aunque el sector importador reporta inventarios operativos cercanos a los 45 d\u00edas \u2014lo que evita una escasez inmediata\u2014, el margen de maniobra sigue siendo limitado ante una crisis prolongada.<\/p>\n
En t\u00e9rminos operativos, Refidomsa import\u00f3 en 2025 un total de 2,294,345 barriles de petr\u00f3leo, un 7.32% m\u00e1s que en 2024, con un precio promedio de US$64.51 por barril. Este desempe\u00f1o permiti\u00f3 generar beneficios superiores a RD$3,200 millones. A la luz de estos resultados, y considerando que para el 21 de marzo de 2026 el precio del barril West Texas Intermediate se situaba en US$98.32 y el Brent en US$112.00, surge la interrogante de si existe margen para amortiguar, al menos temporalmente, el impacto de las alzas internacionales en el mercado local.<\/p>\n
En este contexto, el Gobierno podr\u00eda evaluar la implementaci\u00f3n de mecanismos de estabilizaci\u00f3n m\u00e1s equitativos, incluyendo la reducci\u00f3n temporal de m\u00e1rgenes de intermediaci\u00f3n en la cadena de comercializaci\u00f3n, con el objetivo de distribuir el impacto de los aumentos y evitar que recaiga de manera desproporcionada sobre los consumidores.<\/p>\n
Si bien la volatilidad de los precios del petr\u00f3leo podr\u00eda ser transitoria, esta coyuntura debe servir como una se\u00f1al de alerta. Es imperativo fortalecer la seguridad energ\u00e9tica del pa\u00eds mediante el aumento de la capacidad de almacenamiento y una mayor inversi\u00f3n en la producci\u00f3n y refinaci\u00f3n local. Extender las reservas estrat\u00e9gicas a m\u00e1s de tres meses ser\u00eda una medida prudente frente a escenarios de alta incertidumbre internacional.<\/p>\n
Finalmente, las pol\u00edticas adoptadas hasta el momento evidencian ciertas asimetr\u00edas que podr\u00edan resultar contraproducentes en la lucha contra la inflaci\u00f3n. Se hace necesario dise\u00f1ar un plan integral de gesti\u00f3n de crisis que promueva una distribuci\u00f3n m\u00e1s equilibrada de los costos, reduzca el impacto inflacionario y proteja el poder adquisitivo de la poblaci\u00f3n.<\/p>\n
De lo contrario, los incrementos sostenidos en los precios de los combustibles continuar\u00e1n alimentando la inflaci\u00f3n y profundizando las condiciones de vulnerabilidad econ\u00f3mica de la nacion.<\/p>\n
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ALMOMENTO.NET publica los art\u00edculos de opini\u00f3n sin hacerles correcciones de redacci\u00f3n. Se reserva el derecho de rechazar los que est\u00e9n mal redactados, con errores de sintaxis o faltas ortogr\u00e1ficas.<\/p>\n
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