Jos\u00e9 Lois Malkun<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n
El presidente Trump debe haber le\u00eddo el Arte de Guerra <\/i>de Sun Tzu m\u00e1s de una docena de veces. Aplica la misma estrategia y los mismos m\u00e9todos y parece que le est\u00e1n dando resultados. El mercado responde positivamente. \u00bfHasta cu\u00e1ndo? <\/b><\/p>\n
Veamos la similitudes: <\/b><\/p>\n
\u201cLa mejor victoria es la que se logra sin combatir\u201d.<\/b> La diplomacia, la disuasi\u00f3n, la negociaci\u00f3n y la superioridad psicol\u00f3gica suelen ser m\u00e1s eficaces que la confrontaci\u00f3n directa. Trump lo usa para conquistar Groenlandia.<\/p>\n
\u201cElegir bien el<\/b> campo de batalla\u201d.<\/b> En la guerra, usar la sorpresa para atacar (Ir\u00e1n, Venezuela).<\/p>\n
\u201cLa informaci\u00f3n y el enga\u00f1o son armas estrat\u00e9gicas\u201d<\/b>: Reformar, presionar o neutralizar al adversario es preferible a destruirlo. El objetivo no siempre es ejecutar la amenaza, sino dislocar al adversario, enga\u00f1arlo <\/b>y forzar concesiones. Trump lo hace con todos los que no se someten a sus reglas (China).<\/p>\nDonald Trump<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\u201cLa econom\u00eda de recursos\u201d:<\/b> La eficiencia es superior a la fuerza, bruta. Gastar menos y obtener m\u00e1s es la base de toda estrategia econ\u00f3mica exitosa. Aplicable a reducci\u00f3n del gasto federal, aranceles universales, incentivos fiscales a inversi\u00f3n privada y gesti\u00f3n institucional. Parte esencial de la pol\u00edtica interna de Trump.<\/p>\n
\u201cVelocidad y sorpresa<\/i><\/b> \u2192<\/i> Decisiones abruptas\u201d<\/b>. Anuncios inesperados, cambios r\u00e1pido de posici\u00f3n y ataques sorpresas cuando hay riesgos de seguridad. Genera ventaja t\u00e1ctica inicial (adue\u00f1arse del Petr\u00f3leo venezolano, destruir armas nucleares iranies, combatir la pirater\u00eda en el cuerno de Africa y atacar lanchas con posibles cargamentos de drogas en el Caribe).<\/p>\n
\u201cEvitar guerras largas \u2192 Conflictos cortos\u201d. <\/b>Presi\u00f3n intensa, unilateralismo. Trump Busca acuerdos r\u00e1pidos bajo m\u00e1xima presi\u00f3n (Ucrania, Gaza). Desprecia procesos multilaterales, abandona organismos internacionales y quiere volarse a la ONU por incompetente. Pretende formar un \u201cConsejo de Paz\u201d<\/b> con lideres mundiales que \u00e9l mismo presidir\u00eda.<\/p>\n
\u201cLa moral y el liderazgo \u2192 Movilizaci\u00f3n interna\u201d<\/b>. Consolidar una base pol\u00edtica y leal y marginar al enemigo interno. Trump Refuerza la narrativa de \u201cAm\u00e9rica Primero\u201d. Consolida su poder con deportaciones masivas, demandas, amenazas y persecuciones contra sus enemigos internos (prensa, universidades y ONG).<\/p>\n
\u201cCon\u00f3cete a ti mismo y conoce a tu enemigo\u201d. <\/b>Parte del diagn\u00f3stico de que EE. UU. tiene ventajas estructurales<\/b> (mercado, d\u00f3lar, sistema financiero) y usa ese poder como palanca negociadora explotando la debilidad del enemigo. La amenaza o bloqueo al mercado estadounidense es un arma letal (Cuba, Rusia, y decenas de pa\u00edses).<\/p>\n
\u201cLa paciencia es fundamental y cuando la victoria est\u00e1 asegurada, no provoques a tus aliados\u201d. <\/b>En lo \u00fanico donde Trump se aparta de Sun Tzu, es en la falta de paciencia y en personalizar los conflictos con aliados, donde se excede en la provocaci\u00f3n, (Canad\u00e1, Colombia, M\u00e9xico, Brasil, la India y la Uni\u00f3n Europea). <\/b><\/p>\n
Esto \u00faltimo, debilita la estrategia de Trump y lo exaspera, generando muchos problemas geopol\u00edticos. Mientras tanto, Canad\u00e1 hace acuerdo con China; M\u00e9xico contin\u00faa apoyando a Cuba; Colombia se rebela y se acerca a Rusia; la Uni\u00f3n Europea firma acuerdos con Mercosur y; el BRICS se fortalece, con viejos aliados como Brasil, La India y Sud\u00e1frica, unidos estrechamente a China y Rusia.<\/i><\/p>\n
jpm-am<\/p>\n
\n
Comp\u00e1rtelo en tus redes:<\/p>\n<\/div>\n
ALMOMENTO.NET publica los art\u00edculos de opini\u00f3n sin hacerles correcciones de redacci\u00f3n. Se reserva el derecho de rechazar los que est\u00e9n mal redactados, con errores de sintaxis o faltas ortogr\u00e1ficas.<\/p>\n
<\/ins> <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Jos\u00e9 Lois Malkun El presidente Trump debe...<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":8399,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[63],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-8398","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-opinion"],"yoast_head":"\n
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![\"imagen\"](\"https:\/\/almomento.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/Jose-Lois-Malkun-e1742382176313.png\" "\\"Trump:")
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