{"id":8402,"date":"2026-01-27T04:14:40","date_gmt":"2026-01-27T04:14:40","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/almomento.net\/?p=1094726"},"modified":"2026-01-27T04:14:40","modified_gmt":"2026-01-27T04:14:40","slug":"problemas-estructurales-de-rd-en-perspectiva","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/sarmiento24h.com\/?p=8402","title":{"rendered":"Problemas estructurales de RD en perspectiva"},"content":{"rendered":"

<\/p>\n

\"imagen\"<\/a><\/p>\n

El autor es economista. Reside en Santo Domingo\n<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n

POR OMAROY M\u00c9NDEZ GARC\u00cdA <\/b><\/p>\n

A pesar de haber sido durante a\u00f1os la \u00abestrella del crecimiento\u00bb en Am\u00e9rica Latina, la Rep\u00fablica Dominicana ha llegado a un punto donde el modelo de crecimiento basado exclusivamente en consumo, turismo y remesas est\u00e1 mostrando signos de fatiga y deterioro.<\/p>\n

A diciembre de 2025, tenemos los problemas  estructurales que nos presentan fallas en los cimientos, que limitan nuestra capacidad de convertir el crecimiento del PIB en desarrollo humano real.<\/p>\n

Dentro de  los ejes  cr\u00edticos:<\/p>\n

1. El D\u00e9ficit El\u00e9ctrico<\/b>: una \u00abSangr\u00eda\u00bb Fiscal Permanente<\/p>\n

Este es, quiz\u00e1s, el problema m\u00e1s persistente. A pesar de las inversiones en generaci\u00f3n, las p\u00e9rdidas en la distribuci\u00f3n (t\u00e9cnicas y por robo) siguen rondando los US$1,800 millones anuales.<\/p>\n

Impacto: Este d\u00e9ficit absorbe recursos que deber\u00edan ir a educaci\u00f3n o infraestructura, convirti\u00e9ndose en un lastre para las finanzas p\u00fablicas que obliga a un endeudamiento constante solo para \u00abmantener las luces encendidas\u00bb.  As\u00ed tambi\u00e9n para aumento de la generaci\u00f3n dada la proyecci\u00f3n en el incremento de la demanda futura y como vendedor de energ\u00eda a nuestros vecinos del Caribe.<\/p>\n

2. Baja presi\u00f3n tributaria y calidad del gasto.<\/b><\/p>\n

Tenemos una de las presiones fiscales m\u00e1s bajas de la regi\u00f3n (en torno al 14-15% del PIB), mientras que el servicio de la deuda ya consume una parte alarmante de los ingresos tributarios.<\/p>\n

El dilema: Existe una resistencia social leg\u00edtima a m\u00e1s impuestos debido a la percepci\u00f3n de ineficiencia en el gasto. El Estado gasta mucho en n\u00f3mina p\u00fablica y poco en inversi\u00f3n p\u00fablica de alto impacto (la cual ha ca\u00eddo por debajo del 3% del PIB en periodos recientes).<\/p>\n

3. El dualismo del mercado laboral<\/b> (informalidad)<\/p>\n

M\u00e1s del 50% de nuestra fuerza laboral es informal. Esto crea un c\u00edrculo vicioso:<\/p>\n

Baja productividad.<\/p>\n

Falta de protecci\u00f3n social (seguridad social limitada).<\/p>\n

Salarios estancados que no han crecido al mismo ritmo que la econom\u00eda, lo que explica por qu\u00e9 muchas personas no \u00absienten\u00bb el crecimiento del que hablan las cifras oficiales.<\/p>\n

4. Educaci\u00f3n: El techo de la productividad<\/b><\/p>\n

Aunque cumplimos con el 4% del PIB para la educaci\u00f3n, los resultados en pruebas internacionales (como PISA) siguen siendo desalentadores.<\/p>\n

Consecuencia: Sin capital humano calificado, no podemos transicionar de una econom\u00eda de servicios b\u00e1sicos (turismo de sol y playa) a una de alto valor agregado (tecnolog\u00eda, nearshoring avanzado). Estamos atrapados en la \u00abtrampa del ingreso medio\u00bb.<\/p>\n

5. Vulnerabilidad Externa y Dependencia de EE. UU.<\/b><\/p>\n

Nuestra econom\u00eda est\u00e1 \u00abdolarizada\u00bb en la pr\u00e1ctica y es extremadamente sensible a lo que sucede en Washington, sin pensar en las consecuencias de poner los huevos en una sola canasta.<\/p>\n

Riesgos: Cualquier endurecimiento de la pol\u00edtica comercial de EE. UU., o una desaceleraci\u00f3n en su consumo afecta inmediatamente las remesas y el flujo de turistas, que son los pulmones que mantienen estable nuestro tipo de cambio y oxigenada nuestra econom\u00eda.<\/p>\n

6. La crisis en Hait\u00ed y el gasto en seguridad<\/b><\/p>\n

La inestabilidad estructural del pa\u00eds vecino ha dejado de ser un tema puramente diplom\u00e1tico para ser uno econ\u00f3mico.<\/p>\n

Costo: El gasto en seguridad fronteriza, salud y presi\u00f3n sobre los servicios p\u00fablicos locales es una variable que ya no se puede ignorar en el presupuesto nacional.<\/p>\n

Conclusi\u00f3n: <\/b><\/p>\n

El pa\u00eds necesita urgentemente un Pacto Fiscal Integral y una reforma profunda del sector el\u00e9ctrico. No podemos seguir financiando el crecimiento con deuda mientras los cimientos de la productividad (educaci\u00f3n y energ\u00eda) siguen agriet\u00e1ndose. El reto para 2026 no es cu\u00e1nto vamos a crecer, sino c\u00f3mo vamos a crecer para que sea sostenible y se traduzca en desarrollo social.<\/p>\n

omaroymendezg@outlook.com<\/a><\/i><\/p>\n

jpm-am<\/p>\n

\n

Comp\u00e1rtelo en tus redes:<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

ALMOMENTO.NET publica los art\u00edculos de opini\u00f3n sin hacerles correcciones de redacci\u00f3n. Se reserva el derecho de rechazar los que est\u00e9n mal redactados, con errores de sintaxis o faltas ortogr\u00e1ficas.<\/p>\n


\n<\/ins> <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

El autor es economista. Reside en Santo...<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":8403,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[63],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-8402","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-opinion"],"yoast_head":"\nProblemas estructurales de RD en perspectiva - Sarmiento24h<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/sarmiento24h.com\/?p=8402\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"es_ES\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Problemas estructurales de RD en perspectiva - Sarmiento24h\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"El autor es economista. Reside en Santo...\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/sarmiento24h.com\/?p=8402\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Sarmiento24h\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/facebook.com\/s24hnoticias\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2026-01-27T04:14:40+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/sarmiento24h.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/problemas-estructurales-de-rd-en-perspectiva.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"200\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"200\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"sarmiento24h@gmail.com\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@sarmiento24h\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@sarmiento24h\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Escrito por\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"sarmiento24h@gmail.com\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Tiempo de lectura\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"3 minutos\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/sarmiento24h.com\\\/?p=8402#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/sarmiento24h.com\\\/?p=8402\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"sarmiento24h@gmail.com\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/sarmiento24h.com\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/d653a59725ad629a7e0429af7b939d4d\"},\"headline\":\"Problemas estructurales de RD en perspectiva\",\"datePublished\":\"2026-01-27T04:14:40+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/sarmiento24h.com\\\/?p=8402\"},\"wordCount\":694,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/sarmiento24h.com\\\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/sarmiento24h.com\\\/?p=8402#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/sarmiento24h.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2026\\\/01\\\/problemas-estructurales-de-rd-en-perspectiva.jpg\",\"articleSection\":[\"Opinion\"],\"inLanguage\":\"es\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/sarmiento24h.com\\\/?p=8402\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/sarmiento24h.com\\\/?p=8402\",\"name\":\"Problemas estructurales de RD en perspectiva - Sarmiento24h\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/sarmiento24h.com\\\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/sarmiento24h.com\\\/?p=8402#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/sarmiento24h.com\\\/?p=8402#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/sarmiento24h.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2026\\\/01\\\/problemas-estructurales-de-rd-en-perspectiva.jpg\",\"datePublished\":\"2026-01-27T04:14:40+00:00\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/sarmiento24h.com\\\/?p=8402#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"es\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/sarmiento24h.com\\\/?p=8402\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"es\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/sarmiento24h.com\\\/?p=8402#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/sarmiento24h.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2026\\\/01\\\/problemas-estructurales-de-rd-en-perspectiva.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/sarmiento24h.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2026\\\/01\\\/problemas-estructurales-de-rd-en-perspectiva.jpg\",\"width\":200,\"height\":200},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/sarmiento24h.com\\\/?p=8402#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\\\/\\\/sarmiento24h.com\\\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"Problemas estructurales de RD en perspectiva\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/sarmiento24h.com\\\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/sarmiento24h.com\\\/\",\"name\":\"Sarmiento24h\",\"description\":\"\",\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/sarmiento24h.com\\\/#organization\"},\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\\\/\\\/sarmiento24h.com\\\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":{\"@type\":\"PropertyValueSpecification\",\"valueRequired\":true,\"valueName\":\"search_term_string\"}}],\"inLanguage\":\"es\"},{\"@type\":\"Organization\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/sarmiento24h.com\\\/#organization\",\"name\":\"Sarmiento24h\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/sarmiento24h.com\\\/\",\"logo\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"es\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/sarmiento24h.com\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/logo\\\/image\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/sarmiento24h.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2025\\\/12\\\/AddText_12-16-10.30.52.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/sarmiento24h.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2025\\\/12\\\/AddText_12-16-10.30.52.jpg\",\"width\":1220,\"height\":324,\"caption\":\"Sarmiento24h\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/sarmiento24h.com\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/logo\\\/image\\\/\"},\"sameAs\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/facebook.com\\\/s24hnoticias\",\"https:\\\/\\\/x.com\\\/sarmiento24h\"]},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/sarmiento24h.com\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/d653a59725ad629a7e0429af7b939d4d\",\"name\":\"sarmiento24h@gmail.com\",\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"es\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/sarmiento24h.com\\\/wp-content\\\/litespeed\\\/avatar\\\/d02cbc4e23c747e6659cd45907173c8f.jpg?ver=1778973105\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/sarmiento24h.com\\\/wp-content\\\/litespeed\\\/avatar\\\/d02cbc4e23c747e6659cd45907173c8f.jpg?ver=1778973105\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/sarmiento24h.com\\\/wp-content\\\/litespeed\\\/avatar\\\/d02cbc4e23c747e6659cd45907173c8f.jpg?ver=1778973105\",\"caption\":\"sarmiento24h@gmail.com\"},\"sameAs\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/sarmiento24h.com\"],\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/sarmiento24h.com\\\/?author=1\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"Problemas estructurales de RD en perspectiva - Sarmiento24h","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/sarmiento24h.com\/?p=8402","og_locale":"es_ES","og_type":"article","og_title":"Problemas estructurales de RD en perspectiva - Sarmiento24h","og_description":"El autor es economista. Reside en Santo...","og_url":"https:\/\/sarmiento24h.com\/?p=8402","og_site_name":"Sarmiento24h","article_publisher":"https:\/\/facebook.com\/s24hnoticias","article_published_time":"2026-01-27T04:14:40+00:00","og_image":[{"width":200,"height":200,"url":"https:\/\/sarmiento24h.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/problemas-estructurales-de-rd-en-perspectiva.jpg","type":"image\/jpeg"}],"author":"sarmiento24h@gmail.com","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_creator":"@sarmiento24h","twitter_site":"@sarmiento24h","twitter_misc":{"Escrito por":"sarmiento24h@gmail.com","Tiempo de lectura":"3 minutos"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"Article","@id":"https:\/\/sarmiento24h.com\/?p=8402#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/sarmiento24h.com\/?p=8402"},"author":{"name":"sarmiento24h@gmail.com","@id":"https:\/\/sarmiento24h.com\/#\/schema\/person\/d653a59725ad629a7e0429af7b939d4d"},"headline":"Problemas estructurales de RD en perspectiva","datePublished":"2026-01-27T04:14:40+00:00","mainEntityOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/sarmiento24h.com\/?p=8402"},"wordCount":694,"publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/sarmiento24h.com\/#organization"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/sarmiento24h.com\/?p=8402#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/sarmiento24h.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/problemas-estructurales-de-rd-en-perspectiva.jpg","articleSection":["Opinion"],"inLanguage":"es"},{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/sarmiento24h.com\/?p=8402","url":"https:\/\/sarmiento24h.com\/?p=8402","name":"Problemas estructurales de RD en perspectiva - Sarmiento24h","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/sarmiento24h.com\/#website"},"primaryImageOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/sarmiento24h.com\/?p=8402#primaryimage"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/sarmiento24h.com\/?p=8402#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/sarmiento24h.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/problemas-estructurales-de-rd-en-perspectiva.jpg","datePublished":"2026-01-27T04:14:40+00:00","breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/sarmiento24h.com\/?p=8402#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"es","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/sarmiento24h.com\/?p=8402"]}]},{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"es","@id":"https:\/\/sarmiento24h.com\/?p=8402#primaryimage","url":"https:\/\/sarmiento24h.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/problemas-estructurales-de-rd-en-perspectiva.jpg","contentUrl":"https:\/\/sarmiento24h.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/problemas-estructurales-de-rd-en-perspectiva.jpg","width":200,"height":200},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/sarmiento24h.com\/?p=8402#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Home","item":"https:\/\/sarmiento24h.com\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"Problemas estructurales de RD en perspectiva"}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/sarmiento24h.com\/#website","url":"https:\/\/sarmiento24h.com\/","name":"Sarmiento24h","description":"","publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/sarmiento24h.com\/#organization"},"potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/sarmiento24h.com\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":{"@type":"PropertyValueSpecification","valueRequired":true,"valueName":"search_term_string"}}],"inLanguage":"es"},{"@type":"Organization","@id":"https:\/\/sarmiento24h.com\/#organization","name":"Sarmiento24h","url":"https:\/\/sarmiento24h.com\/","logo":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"es","@id":"https:\/\/sarmiento24h.com\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/sarmiento24h.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/AddText_12-16-10.30.52.jpg","contentUrl":"https:\/\/sarmiento24h.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/AddText_12-16-10.30.52.jpg","width":1220,"height":324,"caption":"Sarmiento24h"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/sarmiento24h.com\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/"},"sameAs":["https:\/\/facebook.com\/s24hnoticias","https:\/\/x.com\/sarmiento24h"]},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/sarmiento24h.com\/#\/schema\/person\/d653a59725ad629a7e0429af7b939d4d","name":"sarmiento24h@gmail.com","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"es","@id":"https:\/\/sarmiento24h.com\/wp-content\/litespeed\/avatar\/d02cbc4e23c747e6659cd45907173c8f.jpg?ver=1778973105","url":"https:\/\/sarmiento24h.com\/wp-content\/litespeed\/avatar\/d02cbc4e23c747e6659cd45907173c8f.jpg?ver=1778973105","contentUrl":"https:\/\/sarmiento24h.com\/wp-content\/litespeed\/avatar\/d02cbc4e23c747e6659cd45907173c8f.jpg?ver=1778973105","caption":"sarmiento24h@gmail.com"},"sameAs":["https:\/\/sarmiento24h.com"],"url":"https:\/\/sarmiento24h.com\/?author=1"}]}},"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/sarmiento24h.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/problemas-estructurales-de-rd-en-perspectiva.jpg","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/sarmiento24h.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8402","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/sarmiento24h.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/sarmiento24h.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sarmiento24h.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sarmiento24h.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=8402"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/sarmiento24h.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8402\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sarmiento24h.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/8403"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/sarmiento24h.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=8402"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sarmiento24h.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=8402"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sarmiento24h.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=8402"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}