{"id":9032,"date":"2026-02-01T22:03:12","date_gmt":"2026-02-01T22:03:12","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/almomento.net\/?p=1095796"},"modified":"2026-02-01T22:03:12","modified_gmt":"2026-02-01T22:03:12","slug":"campeones-ayer-rezagados-hoy-opinion","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/sarmiento24h.com\/?p=9032","title":{"rendered":"Campeones ayer, rezagados hoy (OPINION)"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><!-- .entry-header --> <\/p>\n<div class=\"img_center\" readability=\"9\"> <a href=\"https:\/\/almomento.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Daniel-Toribio-e1758884245979.jpg\" alt=\"Campeones ayer, rezagados hoy (OPINION)\" title=\"Campeones ayer, rezagados hoy (OPINION)\" data-toggle=\"lightbox\" class=\"thickbox\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/almomento.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/Daniel-Toribio-e1758884245979.jpg\" class=\"attachment-post-thumbnail size-post-thumbnail wp-post-image\" alt=\"imagen\" title=\"Campeones ayer, rezagados hoy (OPINION)\" data-toggle data-title=\"Campeones ayer, rezagados hoy (OPINION)\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p>EL AUTOR es un exadministrador del Banco de Reservas. exministro de Hacienda de la Rep\u00fablica Dominicana y actual miembro de la direcci\u00f3n pol\u00edtica del partido Fuerza del Pueblo. Reside en Santo Domingo<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p><strong>Por DANIEL TORIBIO<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Desde 1996, Rep\u00fablica Dominicana se comparaba con Centroam\u00e9rica desde una posici\u00f3n c\u00f3moda: crecer m\u00e1s r\u00e1pido. El promedio lo confirma. En 1996-2025, el pa\u00eds registra un crecimiento anual de 5.6%, por encima de Panam\u00e1 (5.2%), Costa Rica (4.5%), Guatemala (4.0%), Honduras (3.7%) y Nicaragua (3.5%). Esa brecha sostuvo la idea de \u201cdinamismo\u201d como marca pa\u00eds.<\/p>\n<p>Lo que pas\u00f3 en 2025 cuenta otra historia: Nicaragua creci\u00f3 5.0%, Costa Rica 4.0%, Panam\u00e1 4.2%, El Salvador en torno a 4.0% y Guatemala 4.1%. Mientras ellos rondaron 4% o m\u00e1s, nosotros quedamos por debajo.<\/p>\n<p>La ventaja hist\u00f3rica se est\u00e1 difuminando. En 2025, el crecimiento cae a 2.1%. Es un frenazo que se siente en empleo, ventas y expectativas. En la comparaci\u00f3n regional, quedamos al final de la fila.<\/p>\n<p>El mismo contraste aparece cuando miramos los precios. En 1996-2025, la inflaci\u00f3n promedio de Rep\u00fablica Dominicana ronda 5.5%. Quedamos por encima de Panam\u00e1 (3.2%) y de Costa Rica (4.1%), aunque por debajo de Guatemala (6.0%), Honduras (6.8%) y Nicaragua (8.0%).<\/p>\n<p>En 2025, la comparaci\u00f3n se volvi\u00f3 m\u00e1s dura. Nicaragua registr\u00f3 una inflaci\u00f3n de 2.70%, El Salvador 0.91% y Guatemala 1.65%. En Panam\u00e1 y Costa Rica, la inflaci\u00f3n fue negativa. Aqu\u00ed no hubo ese alivio: la inflaci\u00f3n cerr\u00f3 en 4.95%, pegada al techo del rango meta. Se puede decir \u201cestamos dentro\u201d, pero en la calle no se siente as\u00ed todav\u00eda.<\/p>\n<p>El dato que manda no es el promedio, es la composici\u00f3n. Alimentos y bebidas no alcoh\u00f3licas subieron 8.19%. Ese grupo pesa m\u00e1s en el presupuesto del hogar de menores ingresos. Por eso el golpe se concentra abajo: el salario real pierde fuerza y el colmado ajusta primero. Para esa familia, la meta de 3% a 5% no opera como consuelo. Opera como estad\u00edstica.<\/p>\n<p>Con inflaciones m\u00e1s bajas, la desaceleraci\u00f3n se siente menos en el plato. Aqu\u00ed, la informalidad ronda la mitad del empleo y amplifica el da\u00f1o, porque el trabajador sin contrato no negocia ajustes salariales ni tiene ahorro. Crecimiento bajo y comida cara empujan la pobreza.<\/p>\n<p>Esto es una involuci\u00f3n: pasar de crecer m\u00e1s que la regi\u00f3n a crecer por debajo, con inflaci\u00f3n alta frente a los pares m\u00e1s estables y con alimentos aumentando por encima del promedio. Es una combinaci\u00f3n mala para la calle: menos dinamismo y la compra diaria igual de cara. Sin productividad, no hay salario real que aguante.<\/p>\n<p>La discusi\u00f3n p\u00fablica debe cambiar de celebraci\u00f3n a gesti\u00f3n. No basta con anunciar promedios. Hay que atacar la estructura que encarece la vida: competencia y supervisi\u00f3n de mercados, reducci\u00f3n de costos log\u00edsticos y reglas claras en las cadenas de distribuci\u00f3n. Si no se corrige, el pa\u00eds seguir\u00e1 perdiendo la ventaja que construy\u00f3 desde 1996 sin ganar lo que importa: vivir con menos presi\u00f3n<\/p>\n<div class=\"heateor_sss_sharing_container heateor_sss_horizontal_sharing\" data-heateor-sss-href=\"https:\/\/almomento.net\/campeones-ayer-rezagados-hoy\/\" readability=\"7\">\n<p>Comp\u00e1rtelo en tus redes:<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p> <!-- 468x60 --><br \/>\n<ins class=\"adsbygoogle\" data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-3511341636159665\" data-ad-slot=\"3538255450\"><\/ins> <!-- .entry-content --> <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>EL AUTOR es un exadministrador del Banco&#46;&#46;&#46;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":9033,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[60],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-9032","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economicas"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.6 - 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