{"id":96668,"date":"2026-04-01T02:47:30","date_gmt":"2026-04-01T02:47:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/diariodigitalrd.com\/?p=697657"},"modified":"2026-04-01T02:47:30","modified_gmt":"2026-04-01T02:47:30","slug":"bcrd-deja-sin-cambios-su-tasa-de-politica-monetaria","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/sarmiento24h.com\/?p=96668","title":{"rendered":"BCRD deja sin cambios su tasa de pol\u00edtica monetaria"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

El Banco Central de la Rep\u00fablica Dominicana decidi\u00f3 mantener sin variaci\u00f3n su tasa de pol\u00edtica monetaria (TPM) en 5.25 % anual<\/strong>, tras la reuni\u00f3n correspondiente a marzo de 2026. La decisi\u00f3n tambi\u00e9n conserva en 5.75 %<\/strong> la facilidad de expansi\u00f3n de liquidez (Repos a 1 d\u00eda) y en 4.50 %<\/strong> la tasa de dep\u00f3sitos remunerados (Overnight).<\/p>\n

La instituci\u00f3n tom\u00f3 en cuenta un escenario internacional m\u00e1s tenso, marcado por la escalada del conflicto en el Medio Oriente, que ha elevado la incertidumbre global y disparado los precios del petr\u00f3leo y otras materias primas. A nivel interno, el an\u00e1lisis ponder\u00f3 la recuperaci\u00f3n gradual de la actividad econ\u00f3mica en los primeros meses del a\u00f1o y el hecho de que las expectativas de inflaci\u00f3n siguen alineadas con la meta oficial.<\/p>\n

Un entorno internacional que se complica<\/h3>\n

En Estados Unidos, la econom\u00eda contin\u00faa mostrando resiliencia, con una proyecci\u00f3n de crecimiento de 2.4 % para 2026<\/strong>, seg\u00fan Consensus Forecasts. Sin embargo, el mercado laboral empieza a mostrar se\u00f1ales de desgaste: la tasa de desempleo subi\u00f3 a 4.4 % en febrero<\/strong>, mientras la inflaci\u00f3n se situ\u00f3 en 2.4 %<\/strong>, a\u00fan por encima del objetivo de 2 %. En este contexto, la Reserva Federal decidi\u00f3 mantener su tasa de referencia en el rango de 3.50 % \u2013 3.75 %<\/strong>, y los analistas han retrasado sus expectativas de recortes para este a\u00f1o.<\/p>\n

En la Zona Euro, las perspectivas se han deteriorado por el impacto del conflicto b\u00e9lico. El Banco Central Europeo redujo su proyecci\u00f3n de crecimiento a 0.9 %<\/strong> y elev\u00f3 su estimaci\u00f3n de inflaci\u00f3n promedio a 2.6 %<\/strong> para 2026. El organismo ha reiterado que est\u00e1 preparado para actuar si la estabilidad de precios se ve comprometida.<\/p>\n

En Am\u00e9rica Latina, el crecimiento regional se mantendr\u00eda moderado, con una expansi\u00f3n promedio de 2.1 %<\/strong>. La inflaci\u00f3n permanece dentro de los rangos meta en la mayor\u00eda de los pa\u00edses, lo que ha llevado a varios bancos centrales a mantener sin cambios sus tasas de referencia.<\/p>\n

Materias primas en movimiento<\/h3>\n

El petr\u00f3leo intermedio de Texas (WTI) registr\u00f3 un salto de casi 50 %<\/strong> en marzo, pasando de US$67<\/strong> en febrero a m\u00e1s de US$100<\/strong> por barril, impulsado por la reducci\u00f3n de la oferta mundial. En contraste, el oro retrocedi\u00f3 hasta rondar los US$4,600 por onza troy<\/strong>, afectado por las expectativas de tasas m\u00e1s altas en Estados Unidos y la apreciaci\u00f3n del d\u00f3lar.<\/p>\n

Inflaci\u00f3n dominicana dentro del rango meta<\/h3>\n

En el plano local, la inflaci\u00f3n interanual se moder\u00f3 a 4.67 % en febrero<\/strong>, dentro del rango de 4.0 % \u00b1 1.0 %<\/strong>, gracias a la normalizaci\u00f3n de la oferta de alimentos tras los fen\u00f3menos clim\u00e1ticos del a\u00f1o pasado. La inflaci\u00f3n subyacente tambi\u00e9n se mantuvo controlada, ubic\u00e1ndose en 4.76 %<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

Aun as\u00ed, el conflicto en el Medio Oriente representa un riesgo para los precios internos, debido al encarecimiento de materias primas importadas, insumos productivos y costos de transporte mar\u00edtimo. Para mitigar el impacto, el Gobierno anunci\u00f3 subsidios parciales a combustibles y otros productos, adem\u00e1s de asistencia social para los hogares m\u00e1s vulnerables.<\/p>\n

Proyecciones del Banco Central<\/h3>\n

El sistema de pron\u00f3sticos del BCRD anticipa que la inflaci\u00f3n seguir\u00e1 afectada por choques de oferta en el corto plazo, especialmente por el aumento del petr\u00f3leo y sus derivados. Aun as\u00ed, el escenario central apunta a un cierre de a\u00f1o dentro del rango meta, a medida que se disipen los efectos de la crisis energ\u00e9tica.<\/p>\n

El Banco Central advierte que las perspectivas est\u00e1n sujetas a un alto nivel de incertidumbre, condicionado por la duraci\u00f3n y magnitud del conflicto en el Medio Oriente. La instituci\u00f3n reiter\u00f3 que continuar\u00e1 monitoreando el panorama internacional para actuar oportunamente.<\/p>\n

Actividad econ\u00f3mica y estabilidad cambiaria<\/h3>\n

Las condiciones financieras locales se mantuvieron favorables en marzo, con tasas bancarias estables y un crecimiento del cr\u00e9dito privado en torno al 9 %<\/strong> interanual. Los agregados monetarios tambi\u00e9n crecieron por encima del PIB nominal.<\/p>\n

El indicador mensual de actividad econ\u00f3mica (IMAE) mostr\u00f3 una mejor\u00eda en los primeros meses del a\u00f1o, con expansiones de 3.5 % en enero<\/strong> y 3.9 % en febrero<\/strong>. Para 2026, se proyecta un crecimiento entre 3.5 % y 4.0 %<\/strong>, apoyado en la recuperaci\u00f3n de la inversi\u00f3n y la demanda externa.<\/p>\n

Las actividades generadoras de divisas mantienen un desempe\u00f1o positivo, lo que ha contribuido a la estabilidad del tipo de cambio. El peso dominicano acumula una apreciaci\u00f3n cercana al 4 %<\/strong> a marzo de 2026. Las reservas internacionales rondan los US$16,000 millones<\/strong>, equivalentes al 12 % del PIB<\/strong> y unos seis meses de importaciones, superando los par\u00e1metros recomendados por el FMI.<\/p>\n

El Banco Central destac\u00f3 que la econom\u00eda dominicana cuenta con fundamentos s\u00f3lidos y un sector productivo capaz de enfrentar el desafiante entorno global, reafirmando su compromiso con la estabilidad macroecon\u00f3mica y el cumplimiento de la meta de inflaci\u00f3n.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

El Banco Central de la Rep\u00fablica Dominicana...<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":96669,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[60],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-96668","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economicas"],"yoast_head":"\nBCRD deja sin cambios su tasa de pol\u00edtica monetaria - Sarmiento24h<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/sarmiento24h.com\/?p=96668\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"es_ES\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"BCRD deja sin cambios su tasa de pol\u00edtica monetaria - 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